Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No Prison Time" at 39.9% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial—where key accuser Jessica Mann recently delivered emotional testimony—and a skeptical Los Angeles appeals panel reviewing his 16-year California sexual assault sentence from 2022. A prior New York conviction for forcing oral sex on production assistant Miriam Haley was upheld in January despite a new trial bid, but sentencing remains pending amid procedural challenges echoing the 2024 overturn of his landmark #MeToo case. At 74 and battling cancer, diabetes, and heart issues, Weinstein's deteriorating health fuels speculation on time served or compassionate release, positioning shorter outcomes like 20-30 years (24.1%) as viable amid appeals that could minimize effective incarceration. The rape trial verdict, expected soon, looms as the next momentum shifter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 39.8%
20-30 años 23.3%
Más de 30 años 14.1%
10-20 años 8.5%
$895,168 Vol.
$895,168 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
40%
<5 años
5%
5-10 años
5%
10-20 años
9%
20-30 años
23%
Más de 30 años
14%
Sin tiempo en prisión 39.8%
20-30 años 23.3%
Más de 30 años 14.1%
10-20 años 8.5%
$895,168 Vol.
$895,168 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$325,091 Vol.
40%
<5 años
$115,007 Vol.
5%
5-10 años
$65,340 Vol.
5%
10-20 años
$145,246 Vol.
9%
20-30 años
$183,876 Vol.
23%
Más de 30 años
$60,763 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No Prison Time" at 39.9% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial—where key accuser Jessica Mann recently delivered emotional testimony—and a skeptical Los Angeles appeals panel reviewing his 16-year California sexual assault sentence from 2022. A prior New York conviction for forcing oral sex on production assistant Miriam Haley was upheld in January despite a new trial bid, but sentencing remains pending amid procedural challenges echoing the 2024 overturn of his landmark #MeToo case. At 74 and battling cancer, diabetes, and heart issues, Weinstein's deteriorating health fuels speculation on time served or compassionate release, positioning shorter outcomes like 20-30 years (24.1%) as viable amid appeals that could minimize effective incarceration. The rape trial verdict, expected soon, looms as the next momentum shifter.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$895,168Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No Prison Time" at 39.9% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial—where key accuser Jessica Mann recently delivered emotional testimony—and a skeptical Los Angeles appeals panel reviewing his 16-year California sexual assault sentence from 2022. A prior New York conviction for forcing oral sex on production assistant Miriam Haley was upheld in January despite a new trial bid, but sentencing remains pending amid procedural challenges echoing the 2024 overturn of his landmark #MeToo case. At 74 and battling cancer, diabetes, and heart issues, Weinstein's deteriorating health fuels speculation on time served or compassionate release, positioning shorter outcomes like 20-30 years (24.1%) as viable amid appeals that could minimize effective incarceration. The rape trial verdict, expected soon, looms as the next momentum shifter.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$895,168Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No Prison Time" at 39.9% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial—where key accuser Jessica Mann recently delivered emotional testimony—and a skeptical Los Angeles appeals panel reviewing his 16-year California sexual assault sentence from 2022. A prior New York conviction for forcing oral sex on production assistant Miriam Haley was upheld in January despite a new trial bid, but sentencing remains pending amid procedural challenges echoing the 2024 overturn of his landmark #MeToo case. At 74 and battling cancer, diabetes, and heart issues, Weinstein's deteriorating health fuels speculation on time served or compassionate release, positioning shorter outcomes like 20-30 years (24.1%) as viable amid appeals that could minimize effective incarceration. The rape trial verdict, expected soon, looms as the next momentum shifter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes