Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price April 2026 CPI month-over-month at a razor-thin contest between 0.5% (33%) and 0.6% (32%) implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 0.9% print driven by a 21% gasoline surge amid Iran-related energy shocks. Elevated gas prices averaging $4.02 per gallon and persistent shelter cost pressures—forecast above recent highs by models—bolster the 0.6% case, while Cleveland Fed nowcasting at 0.45% MoM and potential moderation in used vehicles tilt toward 0.5%. Consumer inflation expectations spiked to 4.8% in late April University of Michigan data, amplifying volatility ahead of the May 12 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$19,760 Vol.
$19,760 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤0.3%
3%
0.4%
12%
0.5%
30%
0.6%
32%
0.7%
15%
0.8%
4%
0.9%
2%
1.0%
1%
≥1.1%
2%
$19,760 Vol.
$19,760 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤0.3%
$3,867 Vol.
3%
0.4%
$3,357 Vol.
12%
0.5%
$4,076 Vol.
30%
0.6%
$1,080 Vol.
32%
0.7%
$1,584 Vol.
15%
0.8%
$1,868 Vol.
4%
0.9%
$1,159 Vol.
2%
1.0%
$1,796 Vol.
1%
≥1.1%
$977 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price April 2026 CPI month-over-month at a razor-thin contest between 0.5% (33%) and 0.6% (32%) implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 0.9% print driven by a 21% gasoline surge amid Iran-related energy shocks. Elevated gas prices averaging $4.02 per gallon and persistent shelter cost pressures—forecast above recent highs by models—bolster the 0.6% case, while Cleveland Fed nowcasting at 0.45% MoM and potential moderation in used vehicles tilt toward 0.5%. Consumer inflation expectations spiked to 4.8% in late April University of Michigan data, amplifying volatility ahead of the May 12 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volumen
$19,760Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price April 2026 CPI month-over-month at a razor-thin contest between 0.5% (33%) and 0.6% (32%) implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 0.9% print driven by a 21% gasoline surge amid Iran-related energy shocks. Elevated gas prices averaging $4.02 per gallon and persistent shelter cost pressures—forecast above recent highs by models—bolster the 0.6% case, while Cleveland Fed nowcasting at 0.45% MoM and potential moderation in used vehicles tilt toward 0.5%. Consumer inflation expectations spiked to 4.8% in late April University of Michigan data, amplifying volatility ahead of the May 12 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$19,760Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price April 2026 CPI month-over-month at a razor-thin contest between 0.5% (33%) and 0.6% (32%) implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 0.9% print driven by a 21% gasoline surge amid Iran-related energy shocks. Elevated gas prices averaging $4.02 per gallon and persistent shelter cost pressures—forecast above recent highs by models—bolster the 0.6% case, while Cleveland Fed nowcasting at 0.45% MoM and potential moderation in used vehicles tilt toward 0.5%. Consumer inflation expectations spiked to 4.8% in late April University of Michigan data, amplifying volatility ahead of the May 12 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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