Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.6% (33%) and 0.5% (32.5%) reflect uncertainty following March's unexpectedly hot 0.9% print—the largest monthly gain since 2022—that lifted year-over-year inflation to 3.3%, driven by energy and shelter costs. The Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC statement held rates steady amid elevated dissent, citing persistent inflation pressures above target despite resilient labor markets. Cleveland Fed nowcasts suggest moderation to around 0.45% headline and 0.21% core, tempered by base effects and stabilizing gas prices, yet sticky rents keep upside risks alive. Key resolution arrives with BLS data on May 12, where deviations could swing Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$19,566 Vol.
$19,566 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤0.3%
3%
0.4%
11%
0.5%
33%
0.6%
33%
0.7%
15%
0.8%
6%
0.9%
2%
1.0%
1%
≥1.1%
2%
$19,566 Vol.
$19,566 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤0.3%
$3,812 Vol.
3%
0.4%
$2,997 Vol.
11%
0.5%
$4,022 Vol.
33%
0.6%
$1,497 Vol.
33%
0.7%
$1,497 Vol.
15%
0.8%
$2,098 Vol.
6%
0.9%
$1,159 Vol.
2%
1.0%
$1,509 Vol.
1%
≥1.1%
$977 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.6% (33%) and 0.5% (32.5%) reflect uncertainty following March's unexpectedly hot 0.9% print—the largest monthly gain since 2022—that lifted year-over-year inflation to 3.3%, driven by energy and shelter costs. The Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC statement held rates steady amid elevated dissent, citing persistent inflation pressures above target despite resilient labor markets. Cleveland Fed nowcasts suggest moderation to around 0.45% headline and 0.21% core, tempered by base effects and stabilizing gas prices, yet sticky rents keep upside risks alive. Key resolution arrives with BLS data on May 12, where deviations could swing Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volumen
$19,566Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.6% (33%) and 0.5% (32.5%) reflect uncertainty following March's unexpectedly hot 0.9% print—the largest monthly gain since 2022—that lifted year-over-year inflation to 3.3%, driven by energy and shelter costs. The Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC statement held rates steady amid elevated dissent, citing persistent inflation pressures above target despite resilient labor markets. Cleveland Fed nowcasts suggest moderation to around 0.45% headline and 0.21% core, tempered by base effects and stabilizing gas prices, yet sticky rents keep upside risks alive. Key resolution arrives with BLS data on May 12, where deviations could swing Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$19,566Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.6% (33%) and 0.5% (32.5%) reflect uncertainty following March's unexpectedly hot 0.9% print—the largest monthly gain since 2022—that lifted year-over-year inflation to 3.3%, driven by energy and shelter costs. The Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC statement held rates steady amid elevated dissent, citing persistent inflation pressures above target despite resilient labor markets. Cleveland Fed nowcasts suggest moderation to around 0.45% headline and 0.21% core, tempered by base effects and stabilizing gas prices, yet sticky rents keep upside risks alive. Key resolution arrives with BLS data on May 12, where deviations could swing Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes