Trader consensus on Polymarket prices April US CPI year-over-year inflation at 3.7% with a 35.3% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 3.8% at 26.6%, amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in headline momentum. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% annually—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike, including 21.2% gasoline gains tied to Iran-related oil disruptions pushing crude above $110 per barrel. The FOMC's April 29 statement held rates steady while noting elevated inflation pressures, with core CPI steady at 2.6%. Consumer sentiment hit lows on April 24 amid rising five-year inflation expectations to 3.5%. Key swing factors include April energy trends and shelter costs; resolution awaits May 12 BLS release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$220,555 Vol.
$220,555 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤3,1%
1%
3,2%
<1%
3,3%
1%
3,4%
1%
3,5%
10%
3,6%
19%
3,7%
35%
3,8%
27%
3,9%
6%
4,0 %
2%
≥4,1%
1%
$220,555 Vol.
$220,555 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤3,1%
$10,630 Vol.
1%
3,2%
$6,474 Vol.
<1%
3,3%
$6,743 Vol.
1%
3,4%
$7,779 Vol.
1%
3,5%
$9,356 Vol.
10%
3,6%
$20,139 Vol.
19%
3,7%
$53,985 Vol.
35%
3,8%
$52,368 Vol.
27%
3,9%
$27,820 Vol.
6%
4,0 %
$12,527 Vol.
2%
≥4,1%
$12,735 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices April US CPI year-over-year inflation at 3.7% with a 35.3% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 3.8% at 26.6%, amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in headline momentum. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% annually—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike, including 21.2% gasoline gains tied to Iran-related oil disruptions pushing crude above $110 per barrel. The FOMC's April 29 statement held rates steady while noting elevated inflation pressures, with core CPI steady at 2.6%. Consumer sentiment hit lows on April 24 amid rising five-year inflation expectations to 3.5%. Key swing factors include April energy trends and shelter costs; resolution awaits May 12 BLS release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$220,555Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices April US CPI year-over-year inflation at 3.7% with a 35.3% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 3.8% at 26.6%, amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in headline momentum. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% annually—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike, including 21.2% gasoline gains tied to Iran-related oil disruptions pushing crude above $110 per barrel. The FOMC's April 29 statement held rates steady while noting elevated inflation pressures, with core CPI steady at 2.6%. Consumer sentiment hit lows on April 24 amid rising five-year inflation expectations to 3.5%. Key swing factors include April energy trends and shelter costs; resolution awaits May 12 BLS release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$220,555Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices April US CPI year-over-year inflation at 3.7% with a 35.3% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 3.8% at 26.6%, amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in headline momentum. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% annually—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike, including 21.2% gasoline gains tied to Iran-related oil disruptions pushing crude above $110 per barrel. The FOMC's April 29 statement held rates steady while noting elevated inflation pressures, with core CPI steady at 2.6%. Consumer sentiment hit lows on April 24 amid rising five-year inflation expectations to 3.5%. Key swing factors include April energy trends and shelter costs; resolution awaits May 12 BLS release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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