Brazil's Senate rejection of President Lula's Supreme Federal Court (STF) nominee Jorge Messias on April 29—the first in 132 years—highlights congressional pushback against judicial influence, yet traders' 84.5% consensus on "No" reflects stalled impeachment efforts. Over 80 petitions target justices like Alexandre de Moraes (46) and Dias Toffoli, but Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has not advanced them, citing procedural barriers from STF rulings such as Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 decision limiting initiators to the Attorney General. A key Senate committee rejected impeachment recommendations against justices on April 14, underscoring low near-term prospects before October elections and the 2027 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$64,561 Vol.
$64,561 Vol.
Sí
$64,561 Vol.
$64,561 Vol.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate rejection of President Lula's Supreme Federal Court (STF) nominee Jorge Messias on April 29—the first in 132 years—highlights congressional pushback against judicial influence, yet traders' 84.5% consensus on "No" reflects stalled impeachment efforts. Over 80 petitions target justices like Alexandre de Moraes (46) and Dias Toffoli, but Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has not advanced them, citing procedural barriers from STF rulings such as Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 decision limiting initiators to the Attorney General. A key Senate committee rejected impeachment recommendations against justices on April 14, underscoring low near-term prospects before October elections and the 2027 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes