Trader consensus favors no Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027 at 85%, reflecting the court's historical immunity—no minister has ever been removed this way—and stringent procedural hurdles requiring Senate President admission, PGR initiation per Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling, and a two-thirds vote. Despite over 80 petitions targeting figures like Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli amid scandals like elite ties and case handling controversies in early 2026, none have advanced beyond filing, with most archived. The Senate's April 30 rejection of President Lula's STF nominee Jorge Messias signals opposition momentum ahead of October 2026 elections, but traders doubt sufficient votes or timeline for any removal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$64,561 Vol.
$64,561 Vol.
Sí
$64,561 Vol.
$64,561 Vol.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors no Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027 at 85%, reflecting the court's historical immunity—no minister has ever been removed this way—and stringent procedural hurdles requiring Senate President admission, PGR initiation per Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling, and a two-thirds vote. Despite over 80 petitions targeting figures like Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli amid scandals like elite ties and case handling controversies in early 2026, none have advanced beyond filing, with most archived. The Senate's April 30 rejection of President Lula's STF nominee Jorge Messias signals opposition momentum ahead of October 2026 elections, but traders doubt sufficient votes or timeline for any removal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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