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Breaking World News & Predictions

Apr 30, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

40%
32%
2
icon for UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

35%
27%
3
icon for Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

62%
16%
4
icon for Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

99%
15%
5
icon for No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

54%
14%
6
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

18%
10%
7
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

66%
10%
8
icon for Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

49%
9%
9
icon for Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

8%
9%
10
icon for Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

100%
9%
11
icon for Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

27%
8%
12
icon for US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

16%
8%
13
icon for Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

3%
8%
14
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

23%
8%
15
icon for Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

87%
8%
16
icon for Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

10%
7%
17
icon for Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

18%
7%
18
icon for Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

70%
7%
19
icon for Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

60%
7%
20
icon for Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?

3%
6%
21
icon for Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

19%
6%
22
icon for U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

32%
6%
23
icon for Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

22%
6%
24
icon for Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

3%
6%
25
icon for Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

27%
6%
26
icon for Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

2%
5%
27
icon for Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

25%
5%
28
icon for Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

16%
4%
29
icon for Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

9%
2%