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Breaking Politics News & Predictions

Apr 30, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

72%
69%
2
icon for Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

48%
34%
3
icon for FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

80%
30%
4
icon for Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?

69%
23%
5
icon for Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

62%
11%
6
icon for Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

86%
10%
7
icon for Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

4%
8%
8
icon for Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

100%
8%
9
icon for James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

12%
7%
10
icon for Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

14%
7%
11
icon for Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

42%
6%
12
icon for Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

36%
6%
13
icon for Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

24%
6%
14
icon for Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?

85%
6%
15
icon for Kash Patel out by June 30?

Kash Patel out by June 30?

39%
4%
16
icon for Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

76%
4%
17
icon for Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

2%
4%
18
icon for Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

91%
4%
19
icon for Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

57%
3%
20
icon for Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

73%
3%
21
icon for Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

14%
1%