Skip to main content

Breaking Tech News & Predictions

Apr 30, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

97%
97%
2
icon for Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

72%
69%
3
icon for Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?

Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?

98%
42%
4
icon for Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?

Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?

98%
35%
5
icon for Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?

78%
31%
6
icon for Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

19%
15%
7
icon for AI bubble burst in 2026?

AI bubble burst in 2026?

14%
14%
8
icon for Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

59%
14%
9
icon for Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?

37%
12%
10
icon for Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

71%
11%
11
icon for Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

24%
11%
12
icon for Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

27%
10%
13
icon for Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

19%
9%
14
icon for Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

60%
6%
15
icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

64%
5%
16
icon for Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

73%
5%