Skip to main content
icon for World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

icon for World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

$257,049 Vol.

Jun 28, 2026
Polymarket

$257,049 Vol.

Polymarket

Spain

$19,579 Vol.

98%

England

$8,338 Vol.

97%

France

$9,756 Vol.

97%

Brazil

$9,599 Vol.

97%

Germany

$8,490 Vol.

96%

Portugal

$9,989 Vol.

96%

Belgium

$5,790 Vol.

95%

Argentina

$5,058 Vol.

94%

Switzerland

$5,879 Vol.

93%

Mexico

$5,222 Vol.

91%

Netherlands

$5,177 Vol.

91%

Colombia

$6,982 Vol.

88%

Ecuador

$1,457 Vol.

87%

Uruguay

$1,337 Vol.

87%

Morocco

$2,550 Vol.

86%

Canada

$1,547 Vol.

85%

USA

$17,494 Vol.

84%

Norway

$5,160 Vol.

84%

Turkiye

$9,212 Vol.

80%

Croatia

$2,059 Vol.

80%

Ivory Coast

$2,155 Vol.

79%

Japan

$2,705 Vol.

78%

Austria

$13,493 Vol.

77%

Scotland

$8,370 Vol.

73%

Egypt

$893 Vol.

73%

Senegal

$3,457 Vol.

72%

Czechia

$1,139 Vol.

71%

South Korea

$841 Vol.

70%

Algeria

$1,551 Vol.

69%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$2,940 Vol.

66%

Paraguay

$478 Vol.

65%

Sweden

$3,129 Vol.

64%

Iran

$3,080 Vol.

62%

Ghana

$3,429 Vol.

52%

Australia

$5,426 Vol.

49%

DR Congo

$5,785 Vol.

44%

Tunisia

$2,871 Vol.

39%

South Africa

$3,743 Vol.

38%

Saudi Arabia

$11,556 Vol.

36%

Uzbekistan

$2,041 Vol.

35%

New Zealand

$9,313 Vol.

33%

Cape Verde

$3,518 Vol.

30%

Panama

$3,915 Vol.

29%

Qatar

$3,296 Vol.

22%

Jordan

$4,319 Vol.

18%

Iraq

$3,632 Vol.

14%

Haiti

$7,609 Vol.

13%

Curacao

$2,714 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to begin group stage play on June 11, sends the top two sides from each of 12 groups plus the eight best third-place teams into a new 32-team knockout round. The final draw has placed powerhouses such as Argentina, Brazil, France, and Germany in varied sections, while first-time qualifiers like Cabo Verde, Jordan, and Uzbekistan face immediate tests against elite opposition. Recent squad announcements across all 48 nations highlight fitness and depth questions that will shape early results, with hosts Mexico, Canada, and the United States benefiting from home venues and familiarity. Traders are weighing group strength, historical head-to-head trends, and the forgiving third-place advancement rule when assessing implied probabilities for specific teams reaching the Round of 32.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$257,049
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to begin group stage play on June 11, sends the top two sides from each of 12 groups plus the eight best third-place teams into a new 32-team knockout round. The final draw has placed powerhouses such as Argentina, Brazil, France, and Germany in varied sections, while first-time qualifiers like Cabo Verde, Jordan, and Uzbekistan face immediate tests against elite opposition. Recent squad announcements across all 48 nations highlight fitness and depth questions that will shape early results, with hosts Mexico, Canada, and the United States benefiting from home venues and familiarity. Traders are weighing group strength, historical head-to-head trends, and the forgiving third-place advancement rule when assessing implied probabilities for specific teams reaching the Round of 32.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$257,049
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

81%
icon for Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

61%
icon for Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

45%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 98%, followed by "England" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" has generated $257K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is "Spain" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "England" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.