Netflix shares have traded in a relatively narrow range since the April 16 Q1 2026 earnings release, which delivered revenue of $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23, both ahead of consensus, while full-year revenue guidance remained unchanged at $50.7–51.7 billion and the 2026 free-cash-flow target was lifted to $12.5 billion. The post-earnings sell-off reflected softer sequential Q2 guidance and the announcement of Reed Hastings’ transition, leaving the stock near $87 with a trailing P/E of roughly 28 times. Market-implied odds for the week of May 18 will be shaped by ongoing advertising momentum, which now exceeds 4,000 advertisers, and any fresh commentary on subscriber growth or margin expansion ahead of the June FOMC meeting and broader risk-asset flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $102.50
11%
↑ $100
17%
↑ $97.50
19%
↑ $95
28%
↑ $92.50
36%
↑ $90
48%
↑ $87.50
71%
↓ $85
55%
↓ $82.50
37%
↓ $80
17%
↓ $77.50
12%
↓ $75
4%
↓ $72.50
8%
↓ $70
3%
$755 Vol.
↑ $102.50
11%
↑ $100
17%
↑ $97.50
19%
↑ $95
28%
↑ $92.50
36%
↑ $90
48%
↑ $87.50
71%
↓ $85
55%
↓ $82.50
37%
↓ $80
17%
↓ $77.50
12%
↓ $75
4%
↓ $72.50
8%
↓ $70
3%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Netflix shares have traded in a relatively narrow range since the April 16 Q1 2026 earnings release, which delivered revenue of $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23, both ahead of consensus, while full-year revenue guidance remained unchanged at $50.7–51.7 billion and the 2026 free-cash-flow target was lifted to $12.5 billion. The post-earnings sell-off reflected softer sequential Q2 guidance and the announcement of Reed Hastings’ transition, leaving the stock near $87 with a trailing P/E of roughly 28 times. Market-implied odds for the week of May 18 will be shaped by ongoing advertising momentum, which now exceeds 4,000 advertisers, and any fresh commentary on subscriber growth or margin expansion ahead of the June FOMC meeting and broader risk-asset flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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