WTI crude oil prices have traded near $100–102 per barrel in mid-May 2026 amid easing U.S.-Iran tensions and incremental reopening signals for the Strait of Hormuz, which reduced near-term supply disruption premiums after earlier volatility. OPEC+ sequential output increases of roughly 411,000 barrels per day for May and June have added to downward pressure, reinforced by rising U.S. crude inventories and softer industrial demand from China and Europe. Traders are also monitoring the U.S. dollar’s strength tied to Federal Reserve policy and upcoming EIA inventory releases that could influence weekly price action through May 22. These supply-side and geopolitical dynamics continue to shape market-implied odds for the week ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $135
2%
↑ $130
2%
↑ $125
4%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $115
19%
↑ $110
41%
↑ $105
77%
↓ $100
77%
↓ $95
30%
↓ $90
14%
↓ $85
6%
↓ $80
4%
↓ $75
2%
↓ $70
1%
$5,926 Vol.
↑ $135
2%
↑ $130
2%
↑ $125
4%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $115
19%
↑ $110
41%
↑ $105
77%
↓ $100
77%
↓ $95
30%
↓ $90
14%
↓ $85
6%
↓ $80
4%
↓ $75
2%
↓ $70
1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil prices have traded near $100–102 per barrel in mid-May 2026 amid easing U.S.-Iran tensions and incremental reopening signals for the Strait of Hormuz, which reduced near-term supply disruption premiums after earlier volatility. OPEC+ sequential output increases of roughly 411,000 barrels per day for May and June have added to downward pressure, reinforced by rising U.S. crude inventories and softer industrial demand from China and Europe. Traders are also monitoring the U.S. dollar’s strength tied to Federal Reserve policy and upcoming EIA inventory releases that could influence weekly price action through May 22. These supply-side and geopolitical dynamics continue to shape market-implied odds for the week ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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