Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15, 2026, following a 4.75% single-day decline from the prior session's 443.30 finish, which has anchored near-term trader positioning around sub-420 levels. Recent volatility stems from mixed signals in the EV segment, including April China-made vehicle sales growth offset by softer overall demand and multiple recalls affecting nearly 219,000 U.S. vehicles. Market participants continue to weigh the company's pivot toward AI, autonomy, and robotics initiatives against execution risks and elevated valuation multiples. With the week of May 18 marking the final trading sessions before potential weekend resolution, implied probabilities reflect caution around near-term support tests near 420 while assigning lower odds to sharp rebounds above 465.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$420 48%
>$465 18%
$445-$450 12%
$455-$460 11%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<$420
48%
$420-$425
8%
$425-$430
9%
$430-$435
9%
$435-$440
8%
$440-$445
8%
$445-$450
12%
$450-$455
11%
$455-$460
11%
$460-$465
11%
>$465
18%
<$420 48%
>$465 18%
$445-$450 12%
$455-$460 11%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<$420
$0 Vol.
48%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
8%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
9%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
9%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
8%
$440-$445
$0 Vol.
8%
$445-$450
$0 Vol.
12%
$450-$455
$0 Vol.
11%
$455-$460
$0 Vol.
11%
$460-$465
$0 Vol.
11%
>$465
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15, 2026, following a 4.75% single-day decline from the prior session's 443.30 finish, which has anchored near-term trader positioning around sub-420 levels. Recent volatility stems from mixed signals in the EV segment, including April China-made vehicle sales growth offset by softer overall demand and multiple recalls affecting nearly 219,000 U.S. vehicles. Market participants continue to weigh the company's pivot toward AI, autonomy, and robotics initiatives against execution risks and elevated valuation multiples. With the week of May 18 marking the final trading sessions before potential weekend resolution, implied probabilities reflect caution around near-term support tests near 420 while assigning lower odds to sharp rebounds above 465.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15, 2026, following a 4.75% single-day decline from the prior session's 443.30 finish, which has anchored near-term trader positioning around sub-420 levels. Recent volatility stems from mixed signals in the EV segment, including April China-made vehicle sales growth offset by softer overall demand and multiple recalls affecting nearly 219,000 U.S. vehicles. Market participants continue to weigh the company's pivot toward AI, autonomy, and robotics initiatives against execution risks and elevated valuation multiples. With the week of May 18 marking the final trading sessions before potential weekend resolution, implied probabilities reflect caution around near-term support tests near 420 while assigning lower odds to sharp rebounds above 465.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15, 2026, following a 4.75% single-day decline from the prior session's 443.30 finish, which has anchored near-term trader positioning around sub-420 levels. Recent volatility stems from mixed signals in the EV segment, including April China-made vehicle sales growth offset by softer overall demand and multiple recalls affecting nearly 219,000 U.S. vehicles. Market participants continue to weigh the company's pivot toward AI, autonomy, and robotics initiatives against execution risks and elevated valuation multiples. With the week of May 18 marking the final trading sessions before potential weekend resolution, implied probabilities reflect caution around near-term support tests near 420 while assigning lower odds to sharp rebounds above 465.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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