Abundant storage inventories and mild shoulder-season weather continue to anchor near-term natural gas prices ahead of the week of May 18, 2026. The EIA’s May 14 report showed working gas at 2,290 Bcf, up 85 Bcf week-over-week and 140 Bcf above the five-year average, reflecting robust injections that are expected to persist through late May. Henry Hub futures for June settled near $2.88/MMBtu, while the agency’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook trimmed its 2026 average forecast to $3.50 per MMBtu on resilient production and subdued power-sector demand. LNG feedgas remains capped by seasonal maintenance at Freeport and Golden Pass, limiting export-driven upside. Traders will monitor the May 21 storage update and any early heatwave signals that could shift implied probabilities for higher weekly price thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20,200 Vol.
↑ $3.80
3%
↑ $3.70
4%
↑ $3.60
5%
↑ $3.50
50%
↑ $3.40
7%
↑ $3.30
20%
↑ $3.20
43%
↓ $3.10
100%
↓ $3.00
100%
↓ $2.90
64%
↓ $2.80
29%
↓ $2.70
10%
↓ $2.60
6%
↓ $2.50
4%
$20,200 Vol.
↑ $3.80
3%
↑ $3.70
4%
↑ $3.60
5%
↑ $3.50
50%
↑ $3.40
7%
↑ $3.30
20%
↑ $3.20
43%
↓ $3.10
100%
↓ $3.00
100%
↓ $2.90
64%
↓ $2.80
29%
↓ $2.70
10%
↓ $2.60
6%
↓ $2.50
4%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGDResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGDResolver
0x65070BE91...Abundant storage inventories and mild shoulder-season weather continue to anchor near-term natural gas prices ahead of the week of May 18, 2026. The EIA’s May 14 report showed working gas at 2,290 Bcf, up 85 Bcf week-over-week and 140 Bcf above the five-year average, reflecting robust injections that are expected to persist through late May. Henry Hub futures for June settled near $2.88/MMBtu, while the agency’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook trimmed its 2026 average forecast to $3.50 per MMBtu on resilient production and subdued power-sector demand. LNG feedgas remains capped by seasonal maintenance at Freeport and Golden Pass, limiting export-driven upside. Traders will monitor the May 21 storage update and any early heatwave signals that could shift implied probabilities for higher weekly price thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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