Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across May dozen egg price bins, with no outcome exceeding 50%, signaling high uncertainty in this closely contested market amid post-avian flu volatility. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported April 2026 U.S. city average retail price for grade A large eggs at $2.25 per dozen, down from $2.58 in February as highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks eased, boosting USDA-tracked shell egg inventories by 4% recently while wholesale prices hovered near $0.25–$0.29 per dozen. Key swing factors include potential H5N1 resurgence risks, feed cost fluctuations, and seasonal demand; traders await weekly USDA Egg Markets Overview reports and the end-May BLS data release to resolve positioning near $2.25–$2.75 bins versus higher tiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 26%
$1.75–$2.00 10%
$2.50–$2.75 6%
<$1.50
2%
$1.50–$1.75
4%
$1.75–$2.00
10%
$2.00–$2.25
60%
$2.25–$2.50
26%
$2.50–$2.75
6%
$2.75–$3.00
4%
$3.00–$3.25
4%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
2%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 26%
$1.75–$2.00 10%
$2.50–$2.75 6%
<$1.50
2%
$1.50–$1.75
4%
$1.75–$2.00
10%
$2.00–$2.25
60%
$2.25–$2.50
26%
$2.50–$2.75
6%
$2.75–$3.00
4%
$3.00–$3.25
4%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
2%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across May dozen egg price bins, with no outcome exceeding 50%, signaling high uncertainty in this closely contested market amid post-avian flu volatility. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported April 2026 U.S. city average retail price for grade A large eggs at $2.25 per dozen, down from $2.58 in February as highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks eased, boosting USDA-tracked shell egg inventories by 4% recently while wholesale prices hovered near $0.25–$0.29 per dozen. Key swing factors include potential H5N1 resurgence risks, feed cost fluctuations, and seasonal demand; traders await weekly USDA Egg Markets Overview reports and the end-May BLS data release to resolve positioning near $2.25–$2.75 bins versus higher tiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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