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icon for Nunca pasa nada: junio

Nunca pasa nada: junio

icon for Nunca pasa nada: junio

Nunca pasa nada: junio

Algo

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$12,147 Vol.

Algo

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$12,147 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdfTraders assign an 89% implied probability to "Nothing" in the June market, reflecting the absence of major geopolitical escalations, U.S. legislative breakthroughs, or significant executive actions in the opening days of the month. Scheduled elections in Ethiopia and Armenia, along with routine diplomatic engagements and agency operations, have not produced catalysts capable of shifting consensus. Historical patterns in comparable monthly resolution windows show similar stability when no ceasefires, rate decisions, or military strikes materialize early, allowing the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing to price in continued low volatility through June 30.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
Volumen
$12,147
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdfTraders assign an 89% implied probability to "Nothing" in the June market, reflecting the absence of major geopolitical escalations, U.S. legislative breakthroughs, or significant executive actions in the opening days of the month. Scheduled elections in Ethiopia and Armenia, along with routine diplomatic engagements and agency operations, have not produced catalysts capable of shifting consensus. Historical patterns in comparable monthly resolution windows show similar stability when no ceasefires, rate decisions, or military strikes materialize early, allowing the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing to price in continued low volatility through June 30.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
Volumen
$12,147
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nunca pasa nada: junio" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nada nunca sucede: Junio" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Nunca pasa nada: junio" ha generado $12.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Nunca pasa nada: junio", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Nunca pasa nada: junio" es "Nada nunca sucede: Junio" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nunca pasa nada: junio" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.