Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the MA-05 House seat due to the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index, the 35th most Democratic nationally, and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominance as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Clark crushed write-ins 98% in 2024 and won prior generals by 70%+ margins, facing only long-shot progressive primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 primary—where she leads polls by 48-54 points. No Republicans have filed by the May 5 deadline, aligning with Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Barring a major scandal, retirement, or national wave, the November 3 general remains a lock for Democrats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-05 House Election Winner
MA-05 House Election Winner
$26,339 Vol.
$26,339 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$26,339 Vol.
$26,339 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,689 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,650 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the MA-05 House seat due to the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index, the 35th most Democratic nationally, and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominance as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Clark crushed write-ins 98% in 2024 and won prior generals by 70%+ margins, facing only long-shot progressive primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 primary—where she leads polls by 48-54 points. No Republicans have filed by the May 5 deadline, aligning with Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Barring a major scandal, retirement, or national wave, the November 3 general remains a lock for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,339End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the MA-05 House seat due to the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index, the 35th most Democratic nationally, and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominance as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Clark crushed write-ins 98% in 2024 and won prior generals by 70%+ margins, facing only long-shot progressive primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 primary—where she leads polls by 48-54 points. No Republicans have filed by the May 5 deadline, aligning with Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Barring a major scandal, retirement, or national wave, the November 3 general remains a lock for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,339End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the MA-05 House seat due to the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index, the 35th most Democratic nationally, and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominance as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Clark crushed write-ins 98% in 2024 and won prior generals by 70%+ margins, facing only long-shot progressive primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 primary—where she leads polls by 48-54 points. No Republicans have filed by the May 5 deadline, aligning with Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Barring a major scandal, retirement, or national wave, the November 3 general remains a lock for Democrats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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