Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% in the SC-02 House race, driven by the district's R+7 partisan lean—where Trump won by 14 points in 2024—and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolstered by long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising of $669,000 through March 31. Recent FEC filings post-March 30 deadline highlight Wilson's cash advantage over GOP primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while Democratic contenders Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief report negligible funds in a fragmented primary. This primary uncertainty keeps individual candidate outcomes A, B, and Other near 50%, with Democrats at 18% reflecting weak opposition; June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$26,993 Vol.
$26,993 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
$26,993 Vol.
$26,993 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,609 Vol.
82%
Democratic Party
$17,384 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% in the SC-02 House race, driven by the district's R+7 partisan lean—where Trump won by 14 points in 2024—and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolstered by long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising of $669,000 through March 31. Recent FEC filings post-March 30 deadline highlight Wilson's cash advantage over GOP primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while Democratic contenders Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief report negligible funds in a fragmented primary. This primary uncertainty keeps individual candidate outcomes A, B, and Other near 50%, with Democrats at 18% reflecting weak opposition; June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$26,993End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% in the SC-02 House race, driven by the district's R+7 partisan lean—where Trump won by 14 points in 2024—and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolstered by long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising of $669,000 through March 31. Recent FEC filings post-March 30 deadline highlight Wilson's cash advantage over GOP primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while Democratic contenders Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief report negligible funds in a fragmented primary. This primary uncertainty keeps individual candidate outcomes A, B, and Other near 50%, with Democrats at 18% reflecting weak opposition; June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,993End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% in the SC-02 House race, driven by the district's R+7 partisan lean—where Trump won by 14 points in 2024—and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolstered by long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising of $669,000 through March 31. Recent FEC filings post-March 30 deadline highlight Wilson's cash advantage over GOP primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while Democratic contenders Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief report negligible funds in a fragmented primary. This primary uncertainty keeps individual candidate outcomes A, B, and Other near 50%, with Democrats at 18% reflecting weak opposition; June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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