Long-serving Democratic incumbent Jim McGovern's unopposed path through the September 1 primary in the D+13 MA-02 district underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93% to retain the House seat on November 3. McGovern, who won 68.6% in 2024 amid no Republican primary challengers, boasts $263,000 cash on hand as of late March with forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Solid or Safe Democratic. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's reliable blue lean and absence of declared GOP candidates. Late shifts could arise from a strong Republican nominee post-primary, McGovern scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$11,952 Vol.
$11,952 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$11,952 Vol.
$11,952 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,997 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$5,955 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Jim McGovern's unopposed path through the September 1 primary in the D+13 MA-02 district underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93% to retain the House seat on November 3. McGovern, who won 68.6% in 2024 amid no Republican primary challengers, boasts $263,000 cash on hand as of late March with forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Solid or Safe Democratic. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's reliable blue lean and absence of declared GOP candidates. Late shifts could arise from a strong Republican nominee post-primary, McGovern scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$11,952End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Jim McGovern's unopposed path through the September 1 primary in the D+13 MA-02 district underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93% to retain the House seat on November 3. McGovern, who won 68.6% in 2024 amid no Republican primary challengers, boasts $263,000 cash on hand as of late March with forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Solid or Safe Democratic. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's reliable blue lean and absence of declared GOP candidates. Late shifts could arise from a strong Republican nominee post-primary, McGovern scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,952End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Long-serving Democratic incumbent Jim McGovern's unopposed path through the September 1 primary in the D+13 MA-02 district underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93% to retain the House seat on November 3. McGovern, who won 68.6% in 2024 amid no Republican primary challengers, boasts $263,000 cash on hand as of late March with forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Solid or Safe Democratic. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's reliable blue lean and absence of declared GOP candidates. Late shifts could arise from a strong Republican nominee post-primary, McGovern scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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