Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's unopposed March 17 primary victory solidified his path to the November general election against Republican Jeff Walter, Elburn village president who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. This outcome in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—spanning Democratic-leaning Chicago suburbs like Naperville and Aurora—drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting Foster's incumbency advantage, historical re-election rates above 90% for such seats, and Walter's limited name recognition beyond local office. Absent public polls, markets price in structural Democratic edges. Shifts could arise from scandals, Foster health issues, superior GOP fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans ahead of key deadlines like FEC reports and debates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
91%
Republican Party
$1,577 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's unopposed March 17 primary victory solidified his path to the November general election against Republican Jeff Walter, Elburn village president who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. This outcome in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—spanning Democratic-leaning Chicago suburbs like Naperville and Aurora—drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting Foster's incumbency advantage, historical re-election rates above 90% for such seats, and Walter's limited name recognition beyond local office. Absent public polls, markets price in structural Democratic edges. Shifts could arise from scandals, Foster health issues, superior GOP fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans ahead of key deadlines like FEC reports and debates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$1,577End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's unopposed March 17 primary victory solidified his path to the November general election against Republican Jeff Walter, Elburn village president who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. This outcome in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—spanning Democratic-leaning Chicago suburbs like Naperville and Aurora—drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting Foster's incumbency advantage, historical re-election rates above 90% for such seats, and Walter's limited name recognition beyond local office. Absent public polls, markets price in structural Democratic edges. Shifts could arise from scandals, Foster health issues, superior GOP fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans ahead of key deadlines like FEC reports and debates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,577End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's unopposed March 17 primary victory solidified his path to the November general election against Republican Jeff Walter, Elburn village president who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. This outcome in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—spanning Democratic-leaning Chicago suburbs like Naperville and Aurora—drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting Foster's incumbency advantage, historical re-election rates above 90% for such seats, and Walter's limited name recognition beyond local office. Absent public polls, markets price in structural Democratic edges. Shifts could arise from scandals, Foster health issues, superior GOP fundraising, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans ahead of key deadlines like FEC reports and debates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions