Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook PVI, her landslide 74.7% victory in 2024, and $600,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March. Her recent decision last week to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek a fourth term eliminated Democratic primary challengers for the May 19 contest, while Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker hold under $3,000 combined cash-on-hand. Rated Safe Democratic by forecasters, the race faces slim upset paths like a high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, McBath scandal, or massive Republican midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Atlanta-area suburban district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-06 House Election Winner
GA-06 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,382 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$2,184 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook PVI, her landslide 74.7% victory in 2024, and $600,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March. Her recent decision last week to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek a fourth term eliminated Democratic primary challengers for the May 19 contest, while Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker hold under $3,000 combined cash-on-hand. Rated Safe Democratic by forecasters, the race faces slim upset paths like a high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, McBath scandal, or massive Republican midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Atlanta-area suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$5,566End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook PVI, her landslide 74.7% victory in 2024, and $600,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March. Her recent decision last week to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek a fourth term eliminated Democratic primary challengers for the May 19 contest, while Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker hold under $3,000 combined cash-on-hand. Rated Safe Democratic by forecasters, the race faces slim upset paths like a high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, McBath scandal, or massive Republican midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Atlanta-area suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,566End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook PVI, her landslide 74.7% victory in 2024, and $600,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March. Her recent decision last week to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek a fourth term eliminated Democratic primary challengers for the May 19 contest, while Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker hold under $3,000 combined cash-on-hand. Rated Safe Democratic by forecasters, the race faces slim upset paths like a high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, McBath scandal, or massive Republican midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Atlanta-area suburban district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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