Trader consensus favors Spain at 61% implied probability for their FIFA World Cup Group H matchup against Uruguay at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara, driven by La Roja's potent attack featuring stars like those from their Euro 2024-winning squad and Uruguay's mounting defensive injury crisis. Key absences for Marcelo Bielsa's side include center-back José María Giménez (muscle injury), left-back Joaquín Piquerez (ligament rupture from March friendly vs. England), goalkeeper Sergio Rochet (calf), and now midfielder Giorgian de Arrascaeta (recent fracture in Copa Libertadores), weakening their physically tough backline anchored by Ronald Araújo. Spain holds a strong head-to-head edge, including a 2-1 win in 2013, while the elevated 33% draw pricing reflects Uruguay's resilient recent form despite setbacks on a neutral venue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Uruguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Uruguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Spain at 61% implied probability for their FIFA World Cup Group H matchup against Uruguay at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara, driven by La Roja's potent attack featuring stars like those from their Euro 2024-winning squad and Uruguay's mounting defensive injury crisis. Key absences for Marcelo Bielsa's side include center-back José María Giménez (muscle injury), left-back Joaquín Piquerez (ligament rupture from March friendly vs. England), goalkeeper Sergio Rochet (calf), and now midfielder Giorgian de Arrascaeta (recent fracture in Copa Libertadores), weakening their physically tough backline anchored by Ronald Araújo. Spain holds a strong head-to-head edge, including a 2-1 win in 2013, while the elevated 33% draw pricing reflects Uruguay's resilient recent form despite setbacks on a neutral venue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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