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Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

icon for Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Franco Colapinto 85%

Gabriel Bortoleto 80%

Sergio Perez 73%

Carlos Sainz Jr. 71%

Polymarket
NEW

Franco Colapinto 85%

Gabriel Bortoleto 80%

Sergio Perez 73%

Carlos Sainz Jr. 71%

Polymarket
NEW

Franco Colapinto

$105 Vol.

85%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$105 Vol.

80%

Sergio Perez

$100 Vol.

73%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$105 Vol.

71%

Oliver Bearman

$105 Vol.

71%

Liam Lawson

$105 Vol.

71%

Fernando Alonso

$105 Vol.

70%

Alexander Albon

$105 Vol.

70%

Valtteri Bottas

$105 Vol.

70%

Arvid Lindblad

$105 Vol.

70%

Lance Stroll

$105 Vol.

70%

Nico Hulkenberg

$105 Vol.

69%

Pierre Gasly

$105 Vol.

66%

Esteban Ocon

$240 Vol.

55%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

40%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

32%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

27%

Kimi Antonelli

$145 Vol.

27%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

27%

George Russell

$0 Vol.

24%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

21%

Max Verstappen

$50 Vol.

27%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus reflects a hyper-competitive field for the Miami Grand Prix fastest lap under 2026's active aero regulations and sustainable power units, which have compressed lap times across midfield packs on the low-downforce Miami International Autodrome layout—evident in pre-season testing where Piastri, Alonso, and rookies like Bortoleto flashed sub-second gaps. Oscar Piastri leads implied probabilities at 40% buoyed by his Australia GP win and strong long-run pace, while Fernando Alonso sits tight at 39% on Aston Martin's recent aero tweaks and his proven Miami overcut strategy. Emerging talents Gabriel Bortoleto and Franco Colapinto match 38.5% via standout early-season qualifier bursts, with the sprint weekend's lone practice session amplifying uncertainty around tire degradation, DRS effectiveness, and late-race fresh softs pushes.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,795
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus reflects a hyper-competitive field for the Miami Grand Prix fastest lap under 2026's active aero regulations and sustainable power units, which have compressed lap times across midfield packs on the low-downforce Miami International Autodrome layout—evident in pre-season testing where Piastri, Alonso, and rookies like Bortoleto flashed sub-second gaps. Oscar Piastri leads implied probabilities at 40% buoyed by his Australia GP win and strong long-run pace, while Fernando Alonso sits tight at 39% on Aston Martin's recent aero tweaks and his proven Miami overcut strategy. Emerging talents Gabriel Bortoleto and Franco Colapinto match 38.5% via standout early-season qualifier bursts, with the sprint weekend's lone practice session amplifying uncertainty around tire degradation, DRS effectiveness, and late-race fresh softs pushes.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,795
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Franco Colapinto" at 43%, followed by "Gabriel Bortoleto" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is "Franco Colapinto" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gabriel Bortoleto" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.