Trader consensus bunches implied probabilities tightly around 40% for Pierre Gasly, Liam Lawson, and Sergio Perez in the Miami Grand Prix fastest lap market, reflecting midfield parity under 2026 active aero and power unit regulations that level single-lap pace on the traction-sensitive street circuit. Alpine's Gasly and Racing Bulls' Lawson impressed in pre-season testing long runs and early-season quali sectors, while Perez leverages Cadillac's straightline speed for late-race fresh-tire pushes targeting the top-10 bonus point. Frontrunners like Mercedes' Antonelli (26%) and Russell (24%) draw lower odds amid strategic conservatism to protect positions in the sprint weekend format, with FP1 extended to 90 minutes providing crucial setup data amid minimal practice time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFernando Alonso 87%
Pierre Gasly 84%
Nico Hulkenberg 80%
Alexander Albon 79%
Fernando Alonso
87%
Pierre Gasly
84%
Nico Hulkenberg
80%
Alexander Albon
79%
Gabriel Bortoleto
78%
Valtteri Bottas
78%
Arvid Lindblad
78%
Sergio Perez
75%
Oliver Bearman
75%
Liam Lawson
75%
Lance Stroll
75%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
71%
Franco Colapinto
68%
Esteban Ocon
63%
Oscar Piastri
39%
Lewis Hamilton
32%
Isack Hadjar
29%
Kimi Antonelli
29%
Lando Norris
27%
Charles Leclerc
26%
George Russell
24%
Max Verstappen
27%
Fernando Alonso 87%
Pierre Gasly 84%
Nico Hulkenberg 80%
Alexander Albon 79%
Fernando Alonso
87%
Pierre Gasly
84%
Nico Hulkenberg
80%
Alexander Albon
79%
Gabriel Bortoleto
78%
Valtteri Bottas
78%
Arvid Lindblad
78%
Sergio Perez
75%
Oliver Bearman
75%
Liam Lawson
75%
Lance Stroll
75%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
71%
Franco Colapinto
68%
Esteban Ocon
63%
Oscar Piastri
39%
Lewis Hamilton
32%
Isack Hadjar
29%
Kimi Antonelli
29%
Lando Norris
27%
Charles Leclerc
26%
George Russell
24%
Max Verstappen
27%
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus bunches implied probabilities tightly around 40% for Pierre Gasly, Liam Lawson, and Sergio Perez in the Miami Grand Prix fastest lap market, reflecting midfield parity under 2026 active aero and power unit regulations that level single-lap pace on the traction-sensitive street circuit. Alpine's Gasly and Racing Bulls' Lawson impressed in pre-season testing long runs and early-season quali sectors, while Perez leverages Cadillac's straightline speed for late-race fresh-tire pushes targeting the top-10 bonus point. Frontrunners like Mercedes' Antonelli (26%) and Russell (24%) draw lower odds amid strategic conservatism to protect positions in the sprint weekend format, with FP1 extended to 90 minutes providing crucial setup data amid minimal practice time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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