Mercedes holds the edge in trader consensus for Miami Grand Prix constructor pole position at 51.5% implied probability, fueled by their flawless 3-for-3 pole sweep in Australia, China, and Japan, where drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell lead the standings with strong single-lap pace on diverse circuits. Audi Revolut follows closely at 41.8%, buoyed by Nico Hulkenberg and Gabriel Bortoleto's competitive qualifying showings amid a stability-focused upgrade for Miami's high-speed straights and technical turns, marking the newcomer team's first U.S. outing. Alpine at 38.9% reflects Pierre Gasly and Isack Hadjar's recent points haul and form in Sprint Qualifying simulations, with the field tight after a five-week break, limited 90-minute FP1 tomorrow, and scorching track temperatures testing ERS and tire management ahead of Saturday's main Qualifying.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 50%
Audi Revolut 38.9%
Alpine 37.1%
Ferrari 25%
Mercedes
50%
Audi Revolut
39%
Alpine
37%
Ferrari
14%
Mclaren Mastercard
16%
Racing Bulls
12%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Red Bull
8%
Tgr Haas
1%
Mercedes 50%
Audi Revolut 38.9%
Alpine 37.1%
Ferrari 25%
Mercedes
50%
Audi Revolut
39%
Alpine
37%
Ferrari
14%
Mclaren Mastercard
16%
Racing Bulls
12%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Red Bull
8%
Tgr Haas
1%
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes holds the edge in trader consensus for Miami Grand Prix constructor pole position at 51.5% implied probability, fueled by their flawless 3-for-3 pole sweep in Australia, China, and Japan, where drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell lead the standings with strong single-lap pace on diverse circuits. Audi Revolut follows closely at 41.8%, buoyed by Nico Hulkenberg and Gabriel Bortoleto's competitive qualifying showings amid a stability-focused upgrade for Miami's high-speed straights and technical turns, marking the newcomer team's first U.S. outing. Alpine at 38.9% reflects Pierre Gasly and Isack Hadjar's recent points haul and form in Sprint Qualifying simulations, with the field tight after a five-week break, limited 90-minute FP1 tomorrow, and scorching track temperatures testing ERS and tire management ahead of Saturday's main Qualifying.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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