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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$560,901 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$560,901 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$20,452 Vol.

91%

icon for Israel

Israel

$24,076 Vol.

83%

icon for France

France

$28,625 Vol.

82%

icon for Greece

Greece

$23,944 Vol.

80%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$35,261 Vol.

78%

icon for Australia

Australia

$20,070 Vol.

77%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$38,181 Vol.

69%

icon for Italy

Italy

$21,814 Vol.

66%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$3,406 Vol.

66%

icon for Romania

Romania

$23,073 Vol.

63%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$56,183 Vol.

44%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$19,460 Vol.

40%

icon for Malta

Malta

$30,377 Vol.

34%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$5,952 Vol.

32%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$20,706 Vol.

29%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$34,333 Vol.

29%

icon for Albania

Albania

$1,635 Vol.

25%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$1,749 Vol.

17%

icon for Norway

Norway

$8,363 Vol.

17%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$53,286 Vol.

16%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$19,816 Vol.

16%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$8,210 Vol.

11%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$1,751 Vol.

11%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$4,132 Vol.

9%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$8,760 Vol.

8%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$1,031 Vol.

7%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$1,804 Vol.

7%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$2,081 Vol.

6%

icon for Austria

Austria

$3,241 Vol.

6%

icon for Germany

Germany

$17,562 Vol.

6%

icon for Poland

Poland

$2,548 Vol.

6%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$6,362 Vol.

6%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$6,738 Vol.

3%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$2,636 Vol.

3%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$3,460 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Top 10 market heavily favors established frontrunners like Finland's violin-pop powerhouse "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which dominated the UMK national final in late February and has sustained broad appeal through strong streaming metrics and fan buzz. Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan and France's "Regarde!" by Monroe have locked in high implied probabilities via televote potential and Big 5 pre-qualification, while Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" surges on recent betting momentum, capturing 40% of last 24-hour wagers amid viral national final hype. With all 35 entries confirmed post-national selections, running orders set—Finland seventh in semi-final one—and first rehearsals imminent before Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on 16, last-minute staging tweaks and jury previews could spark shifts in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$560,901
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Top 10 market heavily favors established frontrunners like Finland's violin-pop powerhouse "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which dominated the UMK national final in late February and has sustained broad appeal through strong streaming metrics and fan buzz. Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan and France's "Regarde!" by Monroe have locked in high implied probabilities via televote potential and Big 5 pre-qualification, while Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" surges on recent betting momentum, capturing 40% of last 24-hour wagers amid viral national final hype. With all 35 entries confirmed post-national selections, running orders set—Finland seventh in semi-final one—and first rehearsals imminent before Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on 16, last-minute staging tweaks and jury previews could spark shifts in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$560,901
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 91%, followed by "Israel" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $560.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.