Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 60-79 posts (26.5%) and under 20 (26.0%), driven by uncertainty in President Zelenskyy’s X posting patterns amid volatile Ukraine-Russia conflict dynamics. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy’s May 1 response to Putin’s Victory Day ceasefire proposal on May 9 and announcements of expanded Ukrainian strikes like sea drone hits on Russian tankers, signal potential posting spikes from daily addresses and real-time updates during escalation or diplomacy. Historical rates of 8-12 posts per day in active weeks keep higher bins viable, but lulls from troop reforms or negotiations could suppress volume. Victory Day events and any truce signals through May 15 will likely determine separation, with military actions favoring 60+ outcomes and de-escalation tilting lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoZelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?
Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?
80-99 48%
60-79 45%
180-199 41%
100-119 24%
<20
2%
20-39
2%
40-59
26%
60-79
35%
80-99
37%
100-119
24%
120-139
23%
140-159
24%
160-179
23%
180-199
41%
200+
4%
80-99 48%
60-79 45%
180-199 41%
100-119 24%
<20
2%
20-39
2%
40-59
26%
60-79
35%
80-99
37%
100-119
24%
120-139
23%
140-159
24%
160-179
23%
180-199
41%
200+
4%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 60-79 posts (26.5%) and under 20 (26.0%), driven by uncertainty in President Zelenskyy’s X posting patterns amid volatile Ukraine-Russia conflict dynamics. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy’s May 1 response to Putin’s Victory Day ceasefire proposal on May 9 and announcements of expanded Ukrainian strikes like sea drone hits on Russian tankers, signal potential posting spikes from daily addresses and real-time updates during escalation or diplomacy. Historical rates of 8-12 posts per day in active weeks keep higher bins viable, but lulls from troop reforms or negotiations could suppress volume. Victory Day events and any truce signals through May 15 will likely determine separation, with military actions favoring 60+ outcomes and de-escalation tilting lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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