U.S. sanctions relief since January 2026, following the capture of President Maduro and general licenses to Chevron, Shell, Repsol, and others, has driven Venezuelan crude production to 1.1 million barrels per day in March—up from 900,000 bpd in February—reflecting reactivated Orinoco Belt fields and rising exports above 1 million bpd. This trader consensus on near-term gains stems from $1.4 billion in anticipated investments and service firms dusting off rigs, though decayed infrastructure demands $50 billion and 18-24 months for major ramps. Key risks include OPEC+ quota adherence and global oversupply pressuring Brent crude; watch May production data and Q2 contract awards for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$94,936 Vol.
28 feb 2027
1 millón
94%
1,1 millones
82%
1,2 millones
40%
1,3 millones
25%
1,4 millones
20%
1,5 millones
24%
1,7 millones
38%
2 millones
7%
$94,936 Vol.
1 millón
$25,733 Vol.
94%
1,1 millones
$14,013 Vol.
82%
1,2 millones
$8,749 Vol.
40%
1,3 millones
$6,100 Vol.
25%
1,4 millones
$16,339 Vol.
20%
1,5 millones
$7,814 Vol.
24%
1,7 millones
$3,651 Vol.
38%
2 millones
$12,536 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.U.S. sanctions relief since January 2026, following the capture of President Maduro and general licenses to Chevron, Shell, Repsol, and others, has driven Venezuelan crude production to 1.1 million barrels per day in March—up from 900,000 bpd in February—reflecting reactivated Orinoco Belt fields and rising exports above 1 million bpd. This trader consensus on near-term gains stems from $1.4 billion in anticipated investments and service firms dusting off rigs, though decayed infrastructure demands $50 billion and 18-24 months for major ramps. Key risks include OPEC+ quota adherence and global oversupply pressuring Brent crude; watch May production data and Q2 contract awards for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volumen
$94,936Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.U.S. sanctions relief since January 2026, following the capture of President Maduro and general licenses to Chevron, Shell, Repsol, and others, has driven Venezuelan crude production to 1.1 million barrels per day in March—up from 900,000 bpd in February—reflecting reactivated Orinoco Belt fields and rising exports above 1 million bpd. This trader consensus on near-term gains stems from $1.4 billion in anticipated investments and service firms dusting off rigs, though decayed infrastructure demands $50 billion and 18-24 months for major ramps. Key risks include OPEC+ quota adherence and global oversupply pressuring Brent crude; watch May production data and Q2 contract awards for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volumen
$94,936Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. sanctions relief since January 2026, following the capture of President Maduro and general licenses to Chevron, Shell, Repsol, and others, has driven Venezuelan crude production to 1.1 million barrels per day in March—up from 900,000 bpd in February—reflecting reactivated Orinoco Belt fields and rising exports above 1 million bpd. This trader consensus on near-term gains stems from $1.4 billion in anticipated investments and service firms dusting off rigs, though decayed infrastructure demands $50 billion and 18-24 months for major ramps. Key risks include OPEC+ quota adherence and global oversupply pressuring Brent crude; watch May production data and Q2 contract awards for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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