The U.S. decision to engage Venezuela’s interim leadership under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro has shaped trader expectations against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern, favoring stability, oil-sector access, and a managed transition instead of installing opposition figures. Rodríguez’s government has advanced investment reforms and maintained institutional continuity, while Machado remains in exile with plans to return only later in 2026. Administration officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have emphasized phased stabilization over rapid leadership change, and no official recognition or electoral timeline has advanced in the intervening months. These factors underpin the strong market consensus reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$70,598 Vol.
$70,598 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$70,598 Vol.
$70,598 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. decision to engage Venezuela’s interim leadership under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro has shaped trader expectations against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern, favoring stability, oil-sector access, and a managed transition instead of installing opposition figures. Rodríguez’s government has advanced investment reforms and maintained institutional continuity, while Machado remains in exile with plans to return only later in 2026. Administration officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have emphasized phased stabilization over rapid leadership change, and no official recognition or electoral timeline has advanced in the intervening months. These factors underpin the strong market consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volumen
$70,598Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. decision to engage Venezuela’s interim leadership under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro has shaped trader expectations against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern, favoring stability, oil-sector access, and a managed transition instead of installing opposition figures. Rodríguez’s government has advanced investment reforms and maintained institutional continuity, while Machado remains in exile with plans to return only later in 2026. Administration officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have emphasized phased stabilization over rapid leadership change, and no official recognition or electoral timeline has advanced in the intervening months. These factors underpin the strong market consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$70,598Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. decision to engage Venezuela’s interim leadership under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro has shaped trader expectations against formal U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado by year-end. President Trump has publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern, favoring stability, oil-sector access, and a managed transition instead of installing opposition figures. Rodríguez’s government has advanced investment reforms and maintained institutional continuity, while Machado remains in exile with plans to return only later in 2026. Administration officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have emphasized phased stabilization over rapid leadership change, and no official recognition or electoral timeline has advanced in the intervening months. These factors underpin the strong market consensus reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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