Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% implied probability that President Trump will publicly disparage Pope Leo XIV before the April 30 deadline, driven by the absence of any qualifying personal attacks amid policy tensions. Over the past two weeks, the pontiff criticized U.S. military threats against Iran and violence in Africa during his international trip, eliciting Trump's responses focused on foreign policy and crime stances rather than direct slights against Leo XIV personally—the first American-born pope elected in May 2025. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, with the pope downplaying debate and affirming focus on peacebuilding. With the resolution window closing today, realistic shifts would require a late Truth Social post, rally remark, or interview containing explicit personal criticism of the pontiff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$21,838 Vol.
$21,838 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sí
$21,838 Vol.
$21,838 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% implied probability that President Trump will publicly disparage Pope Leo XIV before the April 30 deadline, driven by the absence of any qualifying personal attacks amid policy tensions. Over the past two weeks, the pontiff criticized U.S. military threats against Iran and violence in Africa during his international trip, eliciting Trump's responses focused on foreign policy and crime stances rather than direct slights against Leo XIV personally—the first American-born pope elected in May 2025. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, with the pope downplaying debate and affirming focus on peacebuilding. With the resolution window closing today, realistic shifts would require a late Truth Social post, rally remark, or interview containing explicit personal criticism of the pontiff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volumen
$21,838Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% implied probability that President Trump will publicly disparage Pope Leo XIV before the April 30 deadline, driven by the absence of any qualifying personal attacks amid policy tensions. Over the past two weeks, the pontiff criticized U.S. military threats against Iran and violence in Africa during his international trip, eliciting Trump's responses focused on foreign policy and crime stances rather than direct slights against Leo XIV personally—the first American-born pope elected in May 2025. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, with the pope downplaying debate and affirming focus on peacebuilding. With the resolution window closing today, realistic shifts would require a late Truth Social post, rally remark, or interview containing explicit personal criticism of the pontiff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$21,838Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% implied probability that President Trump will publicly disparage Pope Leo XIV before the April 30 deadline, driven by the absence of any qualifying personal attacks amid policy tensions. Over the past two weeks, the pontiff criticized U.S. military threats against Iran and violence in Africa during his international trip, eliciting Trump's responses focused on foreign policy and crime stances rather than direct slights against Leo XIV personally—the first American-born pope elected in May 2025. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, with the pope downplaying debate and affirming focus on peacebuilding. With the resolution window closing today, realistic shifts would require a late Truth Social post, rally remark, or interview containing explicit personal criticism of the pontiff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes