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icon for ¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?

¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?

icon for ¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?

¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$49,563 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$49,563 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Senate will not pass H.R. 7296, the SAVE America Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, due to entrenched Democratic opposition and the filibuster hurdle. Despite the Republican 53-47 Senate majority, the bill—passed by the House on a party-line 218-213 vote in February—lacks the 60 votes needed for cloture amid unified Democrat resistance framing it as voter suppression. A recent amendment by Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA) to attach it to a reconciliation bill failed 48-50 last week, stalling momentum with no floor vote scheduled. Realistic shifts would require GOP rule changes like filibuster elimination, unlikely without broader consensus, or unexpected bipartisan support before session end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$49,563
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Senate will not pass H.R. 7296, the SAVE America Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, due to entrenched Democratic opposition and the filibuster hurdle. Despite the Republican 53-47 Senate majority, the bill—passed by the House on a party-line 218-213 vote in February—lacks the 60 votes needed for cloture amid unified Democrat resistance framing it as voter suppression. A recent amendment by Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA) to attach it to a reconciliation bill failed 48-50 last week, stalling momentum with no floor vote scheduled. Realistic shifts would require GOP rule changes like filibuster elimination, unlikely without broader consensus, or unexpected bipartisan support before session end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$49,563
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Aprobará el Senado la Ley SAVE America (H.R. 7296)?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?" ha generado $49.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿El Senado aprobará la Ley SAVE America (HR 7296)?" es "¿Aprobará el Senado la Ley SAVE America (H.R. 7296)?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

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