Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for "Yes" as Elon Musk concluded three days of heated testimony on April 30 in his Oakland federal lawsuit against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of betraying the nonprofit's founding mission through a Microsoft-backed for-profit pivot. Altman, present throughout the proceedings just feet from the stand, positions himself as the pivotal defense witness to rebut Musk's claims of a "bait-and-switch" on open-source AI commitments that birthed ChatGPT. With OpenAI President Greg Brockman subpoenaed next and the trial entering its defense phase amid high stakes for AI governance and competitive dynamics between xAI and OpenAI, traders anticipate Altman's sworn oral testimony as standard for the lead defendant, barring settlement, with proceedings ongoing into May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for "Yes" as Elon Musk concluded three days of heated testimony on April 30 in his Oakland federal lawsuit against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of betraying the nonprofit's founding mission through a Microsoft-backed for-profit pivot. Altman, present throughout the proceedings just feet from the stand, positions himself as the pivotal defense witness to rebut Musk's claims of a "bait-and-switch" on open-source AI commitments that birthed ChatGPT. With OpenAI President Greg Brockman subpoenaed next and the trial entering its defense phase amid high stakes for AI governance and competitive dynamics between xAI and OpenAI, traders anticipate Altman's sworn oral testimony as standard for the lead defendant, barring settlement, with proceedings ongoing into May.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Volumen
$2,707Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for "Yes" as Elon Musk concluded three days of heated testimony on April 30 in his Oakland federal lawsuit against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of betraying the nonprofit's founding mission through a Microsoft-backed for-profit pivot. Altman, present throughout the proceedings just feet from the stand, positions himself as the pivotal defense witness to rebut Musk's claims of a "bait-and-switch" on open-source AI commitments that birthed ChatGPT. With OpenAI President Greg Brockman subpoenaed next and the trial entering its defense phase amid high stakes for AI governance and competitive dynamics between xAI and OpenAI, traders anticipate Altman's sworn oral testimony as standard for the lead defendant, barring settlement, with proceedings ongoing into May.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,707Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for "Yes" as Elon Musk concluded three days of heated testimony on April 30 in his Oakland federal lawsuit against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of betraying the nonprofit's founding mission through a Microsoft-backed for-profit pivot. Altman, present throughout the proceedings just feet from the stand, positions himself as the pivotal defense witness to rebut Musk's claims of a "bait-and-switch" on open-source AI commitments that birthed ChatGPT. With OpenAI President Greg Brockman subpoenaed next and the trial entering its defense phase amid high stakes for AI governance and competitive dynamics between xAI and OpenAI, traders anticipate Altman's sworn oral testimony as standard for the lead defendant, barring settlement, with proceedings ongoing into May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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