President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26—covering transatlantic trade negotiations, NATO security, and fallout from a White House Correspondents' Dinner incident—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on her outcome, verified by her public announcement and credible reporting. As the market deadline nears on April 30, no other listed figures, including Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Maria Corina Machado, or Elon Musk, have triggered resolutions amid U.S. diplomatic pushes like yesterday's call with Vladimir Putin on Ukraine ceasefire prospects and Iran tensions. Sparse late-month reporting and no scheduled talks leave alternatives' low probabilities intact, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing verified events over speculation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,868,275 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
6%

Elon Musk
3%

Reza Pahlavi
3%

Xi Jinping
2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%

Papa León XIV
2%

Kim Jong Un
1%

María Corina Machado
1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
1%

Lula da Silva
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$1,868,275 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
6%

Elon Musk
3%

Reza Pahlavi
3%

Xi Jinping
2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%

Papa León XIV
2%

Kim Jong Un
1%

María Corina Machado
1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
1%

Lula da Silva
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Revisión final
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Revisión final
President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26—covering transatlantic trade negotiations, NATO security, and fallout from a White House Correspondents' Dinner incident—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on her outcome, verified by her public announcement and credible reporting. As the market deadline nears on April 30, no other listed figures, including Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Maria Corina Machado, or Elon Musk, have triggered resolutions amid U.S. diplomatic pushes like yesterday's call with Vladimir Putin on Ukraine ceasefire prospects and Iran tensions. Sparse late-month reporting and no scheduled talks leave alternatives' low probabilities intact, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing verified events over speculation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes