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icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
Economía·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
Economía·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

1.27 - 1.28m 27%

1.249 - 1.259m 27%

1.259 - 1.27m 26%

<1.228m 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

1.27 - 1.28m 27%

1.249 - 1.259m 27%

1.259 - 1.27m 26%

<1.228m 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<1.228m

$0 Vol.

26%

1.228 - 1.238m

$0 Vol.

26%

1.238 - 1.249m

$0 Vol.

25%

1.249 - 1.259m

$0 Vol.

27%

1.259 - 1.27m

$0 Vol.

26%

1.27 - 1.28m

$0 Vol.

27%

1.28 - 1.301m

$0 Vol.

25%

>1.301m

$0 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split across $1.228-1.259 million bins for San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward metro median home value on May 31, with implied probabilities near 49.5%, underscoring uncertainty in the closely contested race between continued appreciation and stabilization. Redfin's April 16 report highlighted March 2026 median sale prices surging 14.4% year-over-year to record highs amid an AI boom and low inventory, lifting ZHVI expectations from prior levels around $1.14-1.18 million. However, persistent mortgage rates near 6% constrain affordability, tempering upside while tech hiring trends support demand. Key swing factors include the imminent April ZHVI release and May sales data, poised to dictate positioning ahead of resolution via official Zillow metrics.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split across $1.228-1.259 million bins for San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward metro median home value on May 31, with implied probabilities near 49.5%, underscoring uncertainty in the closely contested race between continued appreciation and stabilization. Redfin's April 16 report highlighted March 2026 median sale prices surging 14.4% year-over-year to record highs amid an AI boom and low inventory, lifting ZHVI expectations from prior levels around $1.14-1.18 million. However, persistent mortgage rates near 6% constrain affordability, tempering upside while tech hiring trends support demand. Key swing factors include the imminent April ZHVI release and May sales data, poised to dictate positioning ahead of resolution via official Zillow metrics.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1.249 - 1.259m" con 27%, seguido de "1.27 - 1.28m" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 4, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" es "1.249 - 1.259m" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1.27 - 1.28m" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.