Polymarket traders show evenly split implied probabilities across narrow bins centering on $344,000–$353,000 for Chicago's median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced forces of persistent low inventory—near record lows—and elevated mortgage rates around 6.3%, capping aggressive appreciation. March 2026 Zillow Home Value Index stood at $317,283, up 2.8% year-over-year, while Redfin's median sale price hit $410,100, up 5.2%, signaling steady demand amid spring acceleration but no breakout momentum. Key swing factors include late-May listing surges, potentially easing supply, and upcoming June FOMC signals on rate cuts; local sales volume and economic data like unemployment will differentiate outcomes in this closely contested range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
351 - 353k 27%
345 - 347k 26%
>353k 26%
344 - 345k 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<344k
25%
344 - 345k
25%
345 - 347k
26%
347 - 348k
25%
348 - 349k
25%
349 - 351k
25%
351 - 353k
27%
>353k
26%
351 - 353k 27%
345 - 347k 26%
>353k 26%
344 - 345k 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<344k
$0 Vol.
25%
344 - 345k
$0 Vol.
25%
345 - 347k
$0 Vol.
26%
347 - 348k
$0 Vol.
25%
348 - 349k
$0 Vol.
25%
349 - 351k
$0 Vol.
25%
351 - 353k
$0 Vol.
27%
>353k
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Polymarket traders show evenly split implied probabilities across narrow bins centering on $344,000–$353,000 for Chicago's median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced forces of persistent low inventory—near record lows—and elevated mortgage rates around 6.3%, capping aggressive appreciation. March 2026 Zillow Home Value Index stood at $317,283, up 2.8% year-over-year, while Redfin's median sale price hit $410,100, up 5.2%, signaling steady demand amid spring acceleration but no breakout momentum. Key swing factors include late-May listing surges, potentially easing supply, and upcoming June FOMC signals on rate cuts; local sales volume and economic data like unemployment will differentiate outcomes in this closely contested range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Polymarket traders show evenly split implied probabilities across narrow bins centering on $344,000–$353,000 for Chicago's median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced forces of persistent low inventory—near record lows—and elevated mortgage rates around 6.3%, capping aggressive appreciation. March 2026 Zillow Home Value Index stood at $317,283, up 2.8% year-over-year, while Redfin's median sale price hit $410,100, up 5.2%, signaling steady demand amid spring acceleration but no breakout momentum. Key swing factors include late-May listing surges, potentially easing supply, and upcoming June FOMC signals on rate cuts; local sales volume and economic data like unemployment will differentiate outcomes in this closely contested range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show evenly split implied probabilities across narrow bins centering on $344,000–$353,000 for Chicago's median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced forces of persistent low inventory—near record lows—and elevated mortgage rates around 6.3%, capping aggressive appreciation. March 2026 Zillow Home Value Index stood at $317,283, up 2.8% year-over-year, while Redfin's median sale price hit $410,100, up 5.2%, signaling steady demand amid spring acceleration but no breakout momentum. Key swing factors include late-May listing surges, potentially easing supply, and upcoming June FOMC signals on rate cuts; local sales volume and economic data like unemployment will differentiate outcomes in this closely contested range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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