The United States has maintained a nuclear testing moratorium since its final underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying on stockpile stewardship programs under the National Nuclear Security Administration to certify warhead reliability without explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 social media directive to resume testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China prompted clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical experiments. In March 2026 Senate testimony, Undersecretary of State Thomas DiNanno stated no final decision on a testing program amid ongoing assessments, leaving resumption uncertain given 24-36 month readiness timelines, congressional funding oversight, and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty pressures. Traders monitor for presidential orders or fiscal year appropriations that could accelerate activity before year-end deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
$655,750 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de junio de 2026
3%
30 de septiembre de 2026
8%
31 de diciembre de 2026
11%
$655,750 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$32,248 Vol.
3%
30 de septiembre de 2026
$3,921 Vol.
8%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$9,362 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has maintained a nuclear testing moratorium since its final underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying on stockpile stewardship programs under the National Nuclear Security Administration to certify warhead reliability without explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 social media directive to resume testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China prompted clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical experiments. In March 2026 Senate testimony, Undersecretary of State Thomas DiNanno stated no final decision on a testing program amid ongoing assessments, leaving resumption uncertain given 24-36 month readiness timelines, congressional funding oversight, and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty pressures. Traders monitor for presidential orders or fiscal year appropriations that could accelerate activity before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$655,750Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has maintained a nuclear testing moratorium since its final underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying on stockpile stewardship programs under the National Nuclear Security Administration to certify warhead reliability without explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 social media directive to resume testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China prompted clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical experiments. In March 2026 Senate testimony, Undersecretary of State Thomas DiNanno stated no final decision on a testing program amid ongoing assessments, leaving resumption uncertain given 24-36 month readiness timelines, congressional funding oversight, and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty pressures. Traders monitor for presidential orders or fiscal year appropriations that could accelerate activity before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$655,750Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has maintained a nuclear testing moratorium since its final underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, relying on stockpile stewardship programs under the National Nuclear Security Administration to certify warhead reliability without explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 social media directive to resume testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China prompted clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical experiments. In March 2026 Senate testimony, Undersecretary of State Thomas DiNanno stated no final decision on a testing program amid ongoing assessments, leaving resumption uncertain given 24-36 month readiness timelines, congressional funding oversight, and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty pressures. Traders monitor for presidential orders or fiscal year appropriations that could accelerate activity before year-end deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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