Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% on Donald Trump remaining President through April 30, 2026, reflecting the deadline's passage yesterday without any resignation announcement, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, impeachment conviction by two-thirds of the Senate, or other removal under the Constitution. His second term, underway since January 20, 2025, shows no active House impeachment proceedings or extraordinary health events in recent weeks to disrupt continuity, aligning with historical rarity of mid-term presidential ousters—only Richard Nixon resigned under threat in 1974. Markets await formal resolution confirmation via official White House statements or records, though late-breaking legal challenges or unforeseen developments remain theoretically possible but face immense procedural barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes del 30 de abril?
¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes del 30 de abril?
Sí
$16,293,826 Vol.
$16,293,826 Vol.
Sí
$16,293,826 Vol.
$16,293,826 Vol.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% on Donald Trump remaining President through April 30, 2026, reflecting the deadline's passage yesterday without any resignation announcement, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, impeachment conviction by two-thirds of the Senate, or other removal under the Constitution. His second term, underway since January 20, 2025, shows no active House impeachment proceedings or extraordinary health events in recent weeks to disrupt continuity, aligning with historical rarity of mid-term presidential ousters—only Richard Nixon resigned under threat in 1974. Markets await formal resolution confirmation via official White House statements or records, though late-breaking legal challenges or unforeseen developments remain theoretically possible but face immense procedural barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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