Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.5–39.9% range (67.5%) or 39.0–39.4% (33.5%) for May 1, reflecting Nate Silver Bulletin's April 30 average of 39% approve amid a recent slide to second-term lows. This positioning stems from fresh polls like Reuters/Ipsos (34%, April 24–27) and AP-NORC (33%, April 16–20), driven by public concerns over the ongoing Iran war, rising gas prices, and economic uncertainty. Earlier April surveys (Fox 42%, Marquette 39%) show volatility, but no major catalysts in the past 48 hours suggest rebound, with traders anticipating polling average stability ahead of 2026 midterms. Silver Bulletin's daily update will likely resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado39.5–39.9 69%
39.0–39.4 37%
38.5–38.9 4.1%
<38.0 2.6%
$31,709 Vol.
$31,709 Vol.
1 may 2026
<38.0
3%
38.0–38.4
1%
38.5–38.9
4%
39.0–39.4
29%
39.5–39.9
66%
40.0+
2%
39.5–39.9 69%
39.0–39.4 37%
38.5–38.9 4.1%
<38.0 2.6%
$31,709 Vol.
$31,709 Vol.
1 may 2026
<38.0
$3,371 Vol.
3%
38.0–38.4
$2,946 Vol.
1%
38.5–38.9
$3,806 Vol.
4%
39.0–39.4
$9,554 Vol.
29%
39.5–39.9
$7,359 Vol.
66%
40.0+
$4,673 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.5–39.9% range (67.5%) or 39.0–39.4% (33.5%) for May 1, reflecting Nate Silver Bulletin's April 30 average of 39% approve amid a recent slide to second-term lows. This positioning stems from fresh polls like Reuters/Ipsos (34%, April 24–27) and AP-NORC (33%, April 16–20), driven by public concerns over the ongoing Iran war, rising gas prices, and economic uncertainty. Earlier April surveys (Fox 42%, Marquette 39%) show volatility, but no major catalysts in the past 48 hours suggest rebound, with traders anticipating polling average stability ahead of 2026 midterms. Silver Bulletin's daily update will likely resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 11:19 AM ET
Volumen
$31,709Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.5–39.9% range (67.5%) or 39.0–39.4% (33.5%) for May 1, reflecting Nate Silver Bulletin's April 30 average of 39% approve amid a recent slide to second-term lows. This positioning stems from fresh polls like Reuters/Ipsos (34%, April 24–27) and AP-NORC (33%, April 16–20), driven by public concerns over the ongoing Iran war, rising gas prices, and economic uncertainty. Earlier April surveys (Fox 42%, Marquette 39%) show volatility, but no major catalysts in the past 48 hours suggest rebound, with traders anticipating polling average stability ahead of 2026 midterms. Silver Bulletin's daily update will likely resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$31,709Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.5–39.9% range (67.5%) or 39.0–39.4% (33.5%) for May 1, reflecting Nate Silver Bulletin's April 30 average of 39% approve amid a recent slide to second-term lows. This positioning stems from fresh polls like Reuters/Ipsos (34%, April 24–27) and AP-NORC (33%, April 16–20), driven by public concerns over the ongoing Iran war, rising gas prices, and economic uncertainty. Earlier April surveys (Fox 42%, Marquette 39%) show volatility, but no major catalysts in the past 48 hours suggest rebound, with traders anticipating polling average stability ahead of 2026 midterms. Silver Bulletin's daily update will likely resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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