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icon for ¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?

¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?

icon for ¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?

¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?

$130,121 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$130,121 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio

$122,367 Vol.

1%

31 de diciembre

$7,754 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cho Jung-tai has served as Taiwan's premier since his May 2024 appointment by President Lai Ching-te, heading a DPP-led executive amid a KMT-controlled legislature that has produced repeated clashes over legislation, countersign refusals, and cross-strait policy. Recent months show him focused on domestic priorities including minimum-wage hikes, technology sector support, and economic growth targets, with no verified public statements or party moves indicating an imminent departure. Legislative gridlock and opposition scrutiny of events such as his March 2026 Japan trip have generated routine political friction but no sustained campaign for his removal. Trader pricing in this market reflects broad consensus around continuity for the current cabinet through the near term, tempered by the inherent uncertainty of Taiwan's divided-government dynamics and any future presidential or legislative shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$130,121
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cho Jung-tai has served as Taiwan's premier since his May 2024 appointment by President Lai Ching-te, heading a DPP-led executive amid a KMT-controlled legislature that has produced repeated clashes over legislation, countersign refusals, and cross-strait policy. Recent months show him focused on domestic priorities including minimum-wage hikes, technology sector support, and economic growth targets, with no verified public statements or party moves indicating an imminent departure. Legislative gridlock and opposition scrutiny of events such as his March 2026 Japan trip have generated routine political friction but no sustained campaign for his removal. Trader pricing in this market reflects broad consensus around continuity for the current cabinet through the near term, tempered by the inherent uncertainty of Taiwan's divided-government dynamics and any future presidential or legislative shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$130,121
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 15%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 15¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 15% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" ha generado $130.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 15%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 15% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.