Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign, framed as “self-revolution” and party discipline enforcement, remains the dominant driver of expectations for further 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into senior generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, following earlier removals of multiple Central Military Commission members, have left the body severely depleted and underscored that even long-time allies face removal for suspected disloyalty or graft. Additional probes, including that of former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui in April, reinforce the pattern. With 2026 featuring intensified cadre assessments ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, traders price elevated risk for remaining senior military and Politburo figures as Xi prioritizes installing compliant successors across the PLA and CCP apparatus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$172,131 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
10%
Li Xi
8%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
6%
Wang Yi
6%
Wang Huning
12%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
$172,131 Vol.
Dong Jun
$34,922 Vol.
10%
Li Xi
$25,863 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$22,771 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$7,525 Vol.
6%
Wang Yi
$12,880 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$10,806 Vol.
12%
Ding Xuexiang
$14,818 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,999 Vol.
4%
Cai Qi
$36,547 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign, framed as “self-revolution” and party discipline enforcement, remains the dominant driver of expectations for further 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into senior generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, following earlier removals of multiple Central Military Commission members, have left the body severely depleted and underscored that even long-time allies face removal for suspected disloyalty or graft. Additional probes, including that of former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui in April, reinforce the pattern. With 2026 featuring intensified cadre assessments ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, traders price elevated risk for remaining senior military and Politburo figures as Xi prioritizes installing compliant successors across the PLA and CCP apparatus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$172,131Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign, framed as “self-revolution” and party discipline enforcement, remains the dominant driver of expectations for further 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into senior generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, following earlier removals of multiple Central Military Commission members, have left the body severely depleted and underscored that even long-time allies face removal for suspected disloyalty or graft. Additional probes, including that of former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui in April, reinforce the pattern. With 2026 featuring intensified cadre assessments ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, traders price elevated risk for remaining senior military and Politburo figures as Xi prioritizes installing compliant successors across the PLA and CCP apparatus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$172,131Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign, framed as “self-revolution” and party discipline enforcement, remains the dominant driver of expectations for further 2026 purges. The January 2026 investigations into senior generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, following earlier removals of multiple Central Military Commission members, have left the body severely depleted and underscored that even long-time allies face removal for suspected disloyalty or graft. Additional probes, including that of former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui in April, reinforce the pattern. With 2026 featuring intensified cadre assessments ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, traders price elevated risk for remaining senior military and Politburo figures as Xi prioritizes installing compliant successors across the PLA and CCP apparatus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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