Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption campaign has dominated Chinese politics in 2026, with purges targeting senior People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders and expanding to Politburo members, reshaping the Central Military Commission (CMC) and party elite. Key developments include the January removals of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by nine more military officials ousted ahead of March's Two Sessions, and April's probe of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, marking the widest shake-up since 1976. These actions, often signaled by absences from state media or National People's Congress delegate lists, reflect trader consensus on Xi's drive for absolute loyalty amid 2027 Party Congress preparations and Taiwan tensions, leaving leadership vacancies that heighten uncertainty for further high-profile dismissals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$138,886 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
15%
Li Xi
9%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Wang Yi
3%
Wang Huning
3%
Li Qiang
2%
$138,886 Vol.
Dong Jun
$30,531 Vol.
15%
Li Xi
$19,037 Vol.
9%
Zhang Shengmin
$19,101 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$6,830 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$13,224 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$26,900 Vol.
5%
Wang Yi
$10,534 Vol.
3%
Wang Huning
$7,692 Vol.
3%
Li Qiang
$5,037 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption campaign has dominated Chinese politics in 2026, with purges targeting senior People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders and expanding to Politburo members, reshaping the Central Military Commission (CMC) and party elite. Key developments include the January removals of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by nine more military officials ousted ahead of March's Two Sessions, and April's probe of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, marking the widest shake-up since 1976. These actions, often signaled by absences from state media or National People's Congress delegate lists, reflect trader consensus on Xi's drive for absolute loyalty amid 2027 Party Congress preparations and Taiwan tensions, leaving leadership vacancies that heighten uncertainty for further high-profile dismissals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$138,886Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption campaign has dominated Chinese politics in 2026, with purges targeting senior People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders and expanding to Politburo members, reshaping the Central Military Commission (CMC) and party elite. Key developments include the January removals of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by nine more military officials ousted ahead of March's Two Sessions, and April's probe of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, marking the widest shake-up since 1976. These actions, often signaled by absences from state media or National People's Congress delegate lists, reflect trader consensus on Xi's drive for absolute loyalty amid 2027 Party Congress preparations and Taiwan tensions, leaving leadership vacancies that heighten uncertainty for further high-profile dismissals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$138,886Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption campaign has dominated Chinese politics in 2026, with purges targeting senior People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders and expanding to Politburo members, reshaping the Central Military Commission (CMC) and party elite. Key developments include the January removals of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by nine more military officials ousted ahead of March's Two Sessions, and April's probe of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, marking the widest shake-up since 1976. These actions, often signaled by absences from state media or National People's Congress delegate lists, reflect trader consensus on Xi's drive for absolute loyalty amid 2027 Party Congress preparations and Taiwan tensions, leaving leadership vacancies that heighten uncertainty for further high-profile dismissals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes