**Stripe's explicit preference for remaining private, combined with repeated tender offers delivering liquidity at valuations near $159 billion as of February 2026, underpins the 99.8% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026.** Co-founder John Collison has stated the company is “not in any rush” to list, citing long-term growth priorities and AI-driven innovation without the quarterly reporting burdens or dilution risks of public markets. These secondary transactions have allowed employee and investor exits at premiums to the 2021 peak while processing over $1.9 trillion in payments volume. With only days left before the deadline and no S-1 filing or advisor announcements confirming an imminent debut, the consensus reflects realistic timelines for regulatory processes. An unexpected filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically shift odds, though such a move would face substantial logistical and market hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 99.8%
140.000M+ <1%
<80 mil millones <1%
80–100B <1%
$258,641 Vol.
$258,641 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<80 mil millones
<1%
80–100B
<1%
100–120B
<1%
$120–140 mil millones
<1%
140.000M+
<1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
100%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 99.8%
140.000M+ <1%
<80 mil millones <1%
80–100B <1%
$258,641 Vol.
$258,641 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<80 mil millones
$87,427 Vol.
<1%
80–100B
$21,891 Vol.
<1%
100–120B
$24,942 Vol.
<1%
$120–140 mil millones
$40,361 Vol.
<1%
140.000M+
$24,340 Vol.
<1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$59,680 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Stripe's explicit preference for remaining private, combined with repeated tender offers delivering liquidity at valuations near $159 billion as of February 2026, underpins the 99.8% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026.** Co-founder John Collison has stated the company is “not in any rush” to list, citing long-term growth priorities and AI-driven innovation without the quarterly reporting burdens or dilution risks of public markets. These secondary transactions have allowed employee and investor exits at premiums to the 2021 peak while processing over $1.9 trillion in payments volume. With only days left before the deadline and no S-1 filing or advisor announcements confirming an imminent debut, the consensus reflects realistic timelines for regulatory processes. An unexpected filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically shift odds, though such a move would face substantial logistical and market hurdles.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Volumen
$258,641Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Stripe's explicit preference for remaining private, combined with repeated tender offers delivering liquidity at valuations near $159 billion as of February 2026, underpins the 99.8% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026.** Co-founder John Collison has stated the company is “not in any rush” to list, citing long-term growth priorities and AI-driven innovation without the quarterly reporting burdens or dilution risks of public markets. These secondary transactions have allowed employee and investor exits at premiums to the 2021 peak while processing over $1.9 trillion in payments volume. With only days left before the deadline and no S-1 filing or advisor announcements confirming an imminent debut, the consensus reflects realistic timelines for regulatory processes. An unexpected filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically shift odds, though such a move would face substantial logistical and market hurdles.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$258,641Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Stripe's explicit preference for remaining private, combined with repeated tender offers delivering liquidity at valuations near $159 billion as of February 2026, underpins the 99.8% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026.** Co-founder John Collison has stated the company is “not in any rush” to list, citing long-term growth priorities and AI-driven innovation without the quarterly reporting burdens or dilution risks of public markets. These secondary transactions have allowed employee and investor exits at premiums to the 2021 peak while processing over $1.9 trillion in payments volume. With only days left before the deadline and no S-1 filing or advisor announcements confirming an imminent debut, the consensus reflects realistic timelines for regulatory processes. An unexpected filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically shift odds, though such a move would face substantial logistical and market hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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