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icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) remaining in office past May 31, reflecting his secure position as Arizona's junior senator early in his 2025–2031 term and active legislative engagements, including questioning Interior Secretary Burgum on water plans during an April 29 Senate Energy Committee hearing. Recent Republican accusations from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna alleging sexual misconduct involving four women during a Colombia trip, plus campaign finance scrutiny and ties to ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell's resignation amid assault claims, have spurred a Senate Ethics Committee referral confirmed by Sen. John Thune—yet no formal proceedings, resignation pressure, or disqualifying developments have emerged in the past month. Such high confidence stems from the rarity of Senate expulsions (last in 1862) absent criminal conviction; potential shifts could arise from ethics escalation, health crises, or indictments before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,430
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) remaining in office past May 31, reflecting his secure position as Arizona's junior senator early in his 2025–2031 term and active legislative engagements, including questioning Interior Secretary Burgum on water plans during an April 29 Senate Energy Committee hearing. Recent Republican accusations from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna alleging sexual misconduct involving four women during a Colombia trip, plus campaign finance scrutiny and ties to ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell's resignation amid assault claims, have spurred a Senate Ethics Committee referral confirmed by Sen. John Thune—yet no formal proceedings, resignation pressure, or disqualifying developments have emerged in the past month. Such high confidence stems from the rarity of Senate expulsions (last in 1862) absent criminal conviction; potential shifts could arise from ethics escalation, health crises, or indictments before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,430
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 4% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 4¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" es 4% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.