Substantial early-month rainfall accumulation has driven trader consensus toward the 500 mm+ outcome for Hong Kong in June 2026, with the Hong Kong Observatory reporting nearly 200 mm through June 11 alone. The East Asian summer monsoon, combined with frequent thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the season, continues to favor convective activity and potential tropical cyclone influences that could add further totals in the remaining weeks. While the HKO seasonal outlook issued in late May anticipated normal to below-normal rainfall overall, observed data through mid-June has shifted near-term expectations higher. Historical June averages range from roughly 300–450 mm, but current pacing and model guidance on steering patterns support elevated probabilities for exceeding upper thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+ 63%
400-425mm 13%
425-450mm 6%
475-500mm 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<350mm
4%
350-375mm
12%
375-400mm
6%
400-425mm
12%
425-450mm
6%
450-475mm
5%
475-500mm
6%
500mm+
57%
500mm+ 63%
400-425mm 13%
425-450mm 6%
475-500mm 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<350mm
$449 Vol.
4%
350-375mm
$505 Vol.
12%
375-400mm
$395 Vol.
6%
400-425mm
$277 Vol.
12%
425-450mm
$315 Vol.
6%
450-475mm
$373 Vol.
5%
475-500mm
$451 Vol.
6%
500mm+
$751 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Substantial early-month rainfall accumulation has driven trader consensus toward the 500 mm+ outcome for Hong Kong in June 2026, with the Hong Kong Observatory reporting nearly 200 mm through June 11 alone. The East Asian summer monsoon, combined with frequent thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the season, continues to favor convective activity and potential tropical cyclone influences that could add further totals in the remaining weeks. While the HKO seasonal outlook issued in late May anticipated normal to below-normal rainfall overall, observed data through mid-June has shifted near-term expectations higher. Historical June averages range from roughly 300–450 mm, but current pacing and model guidance on steering patterns support elevated probabilities for exceeding upper thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$3,516Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Substantial early-month rainfall accumulation has driven trader consensus toward the 500 mm+ outcome for Hong Kong in June 2026, with the Hong Kong Observatory reporting nearly 200 mm through June 11 alone. The East Asian summer monsoon, combined with frequent thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the season, continues to favor convective activity and potential tropical cyclone influences that could add further totals in the remaining weeks. While the HKO seasonal outlook issued in late May anticipated normal to below-normal rainfall overall, observed data through mid-June has shifted near-term expectations higher. Historical June averages range from roughly 300–450 mm, but current pacing and model guidance on steering patterns support elevated probabilities for exceeding upper thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,516Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Substantial early-month rainfall accumulation has driven trader consensus toward the 500 mm+ outcome for Hong Kong in June 2026, with the Hong Kong Observatory reporting nearly 200 mm through June 11 alone. The East Asian summer monsoon, combined with frequent thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the season, continues to favor convective activity and potential tropical cyclone influences that could add further totals in the remaining weeks. While the HKO seasonal outlook issued in late May anticipated normal to below-normal rainfall overall, observed data through mid-June has shifted near-term expectations higher. Historical June averages range from roughly 300–450 mm, but current pacing and model guidance on steering patterns support elevated probabilities for exceeding upper thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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