Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe holds a commanding 62.5% implied probability on prediction markets for the October 26 Ottawa mayoral election, bolstered by strong name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a fragmented opposition echoing his 2022 victory. Recent Liaison Strategies polling from April 12 showed him leading decided voters 46% to Jeff Leiper's 37% and Alex Lawson's 13%, with roughly half undecided amid low approval ratings on transit (30% approve), crime, and $419 million Lansdowne 2.0 spending (62% disapprove). Housing affordability and public transit dominate voter concerns, yet challengers like Kitchissippi Councillor's Leiper and homebuilder Lawson split anti-incumbent votes. Nomination filings open today (May 1), with the formal campaign period starting September 1.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe 63%
Jeff Leiper 19%
Alex Lawson 4.3%
Catherine McKenney 2.9%

Mark Sutcliffe
63%

Jeff Leiper
19%

Alex Lawson
4%

Catherine McKenney
3%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 63%
Jeff Leiper 19%
Alex Lawson 4.3%
Catherine McKenney 2.9%

Mark Sutcliffe
63%

Jeff Leiper
19%

Alex Lawson
4%

Catherine McKenney
3%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe holds a commanding 62.5% implied probability on prediction markets for the October 26 Ottawa mayoral election, bolstered by strong name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a fragmented opposition echoing his 2022 victory. Recent Liaison Strategies polling from April 12 showed him leading decided voters 46% to Jeff Leiper's 37% and Alex Lawson's 13%, with roughly half undecided amid low approval ratings on transit (30% approve), crime, and $419 million Lansdowne 2.0 spending (62% disapprove). Housing affordability and public transit dominate voter concerns, yet challengers like Kitchissippi Councillor's Leiper and homebuilder Lawson split anti-incumbent votes. Nomination filings open today (May 1), with the formal campaign period starting September 1.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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