OpenAI's recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money funding round, anchors trader sentiment around a late-2026 or 2027 IPO window at valuations potentially exceeding $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum, reported at roughly $2 billion monthly, supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap, yet $14 billion projected 2026 losses and a path to profitability only in 2030 introduce downside pressure. Competitive filings by peers like Anthropic, regulatory scrutiny, and equity-market conditions for mega-cap tech debuts further differentiate outcomes between sub-$1 trillion results and higher targets, with the 12% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting execution and timing risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1.5T+ 31.2%
750B–1T 20%
1,25T–1,5T 16%
1T–1.25T 12.4%
$28,659 Vol.
$28,659 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500B
2%
500–750 mil millones
4%
750B–1T
20%
1T–1.25T
12%
1,25T–1,5T
16%
1.5T+
31%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
12%
1.5T+ 31.2%
750B–1T 20%
1,25T–1,5T 16%
1T–1.25T 12.4%
$28,659 Vol.
$28,659 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500B
$1,019 Vol.
2%
500–750 mil millones
$1,098 Vol.
4%
750B–1T
$1,749 Vol.
20%
1T–1.25T
$4,924 Vol.
12%
1,25T–1,5T
$2,241 Vol.
16%
1.5T+
$4,007 Vol.
31%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
$13,621 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money funding round, anchors trader sentiment around a late-2026 or 2027 IPO window at valuations potentially exceeding $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum, reported at roughly $2 billion monthly, supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap, yet $14 billion projected 2026 losses and a path to profitability only in 2030 introduce downside pressure. Competitive filings by peers like Anthropic, regulatory scrutiny, and equity-market conditions for mega-cap tech debuts further differentiate outcomes between sub-$1 trillion results and higher targets, with the 12% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting execution and timing risks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$28,659Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money funding round, anchors trader sentiment around a late-2026 or 2027 IPO window at valuations potentially exceeding $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum, reported at roughly $2 billion monthly, supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap, yet $14 billion projected 2026 losses and a path to profitability only in 2030 introduce downside pressure. Competitive filings by peers like Anthropic, regulatory scrutiny, and equity-market conditions for mega-cap tech debuts further differentiate outcomes between sub-$1 trillion results and higher targets, with the 12% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting execution and timing risks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$28,659Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money funding round, anchors trader sentiment around a late-2026 or 2027 IPO window at valuations potentially exceeding $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum, reported at roughly $2 billion monthly, supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap, yet $14 billion projected 2026 losses and a path to profitability only in 2030 introduce downside pressure. Competitive filings by peers like Anthropic, regulatory scrutiny, and equity-market conditions for mega-cap tech debuts further differentiate outcomes between sub-$1 trillion results and higher targets, with the 12% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting execution and timing risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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