Skip to main content
icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?

Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?

icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?

Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?

$1,237,351 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,237,351 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio

$635,110 Vol.

22%

31 de diciembre

$180,985 Vol.

56%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel, who also serves as First Secretary of the Communist Party, remains securely in power amid heightened U.S. pressure from the Trump administration, which in March 2026 demanded his resignation as a precondition for negotiations on prisoner releases and bilateral ties. In his first U.S. network interview on April 10, Díaz-Canel categorically rejected stepping down, emphasizing Cuban sovereignty and warning against deposition attempts, while on April 16 he rallied supporters in Havana, declaring readiness to defend against invasion. Ongoing energy blackouts, economic shortages, and public discontent persist without triggering institutional change, as real authority lies with the one-party Communist Party apparatus rather than the presidency alone. No National Assembly sessions or succession procedures are scheduled in the near term, leaving traders to weigh external diplomatic escalations against entrenched regime stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,237,351
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel, who also serves as First Secretary of the Communist Party, remains securely in power amid heightened U.S. pressure from the Trump administration, which in March 2026 demanded his resignation as a precondition for negotiations on prisoner releases and bilateral ties. In his first U.S. network interview on April 10, Díaz-Canel categorically rejected stepping down, emphasizing Cuban sovereignty and warning against deposition attempts, while on April 16 he rallied supporters in Havana, declaring readiness to defend against invasion. Ongoing energy blackouts, economic shortages, and public discontent persist without triggering institutional change, as real authority lies with the one-party Communist Party apparatus rather than the presidency alone. No National Assembly sessions or succession procedures are scheduled in the near term, leaving traders to weigh external diplomatic escalations against entrenched regime stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,237,351
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 56%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?" ha generado $1.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?" es "31 de diciembre" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Miguel Díaz-Canel sale como líder de Cuba por…?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.