Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C minimum in Shanghai on June 15, with 21°C as the clear secondary outcome, reflecting tight alignment in official forecasts around typical mid-June values. Persistent Meiyu-season cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows near the 21–23°C range rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent model runs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project a low near 22°C under continued overcast conditions, consistent with climatological baselines for the period. No significant synoptic shifts, such as clearer skies or stronger onshore flow, have emerged in the latest guidance to alter this narrow band ahead of the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 15 de junio?
22°C 65%
21°C 33.9%
23°C 7%
20°C 1.4%
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
34%
22°C
53%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 65%
21°C 33.9%
23°C 7%
20°C 1.4%
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
34%
22°C
53%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C minimum in Shanghai on June 15, with 21°C as the clear secondary outcome, reflecting tight alignment in official forecasts around typical mid-June values. Persistent Meiyu-season cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows near the 21–23°C range rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent model runs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project a low near 22°C under continued overcast conditions, consistent with climatological baselines for the period. No significant synoptic shifts, such as clearer skies or stronger onshore flow, have emerged in the latest guidance to alter this narrow band ahead of the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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