Traders heavily favor the 66-67°F bin at 42.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Central Park points to an overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations from June 13–14 showing daily lows near 63–66°F, combined with climatological averages of 62–67°F for mid-June, anchor expectations around this range while modest model spread explains secondary support for 64–65°F and 68–69°F. Clearer or calmer conditions could push readings lower, whereas increased humidity or cloud cover would support the upper side of the distribution ahead of final NWS verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de junio?
66-67°F 40%
64-65°F 18%
68-69°F 16%
70-71°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o más
1%
66-67°F 40%
64-65°F 18%
68-69°F 16%
70-71°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
55°F o menos
$199 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,277 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,380 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$259 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$120 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$40 Vol.
18%
66-67°F
$60 Vol.
43%
68-69°F
$89 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$810 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$854 Vol.
1%
74°F o más
$454 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 66-67°F bin at 42.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Central Park points to an overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations from June 13–14 showing daily lows near 63–66°F, combined with climatological averages of 62–67°F for mid-June, anchor expectations around this range while modest model spread explains secondary support for 64–65°F and 68–69°F. Clearer or calmer conditions could push readings lower, whereas increased humidity or cloud cover would support the upper side of the distribution ahead of final NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$5,519Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 66-67°F bin at 42.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Central Park points to an overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations from June 13–14 showing daily lows near 63–66°F, combined with climatological averages of 62–67°F for mid-June, anchor expectations around this range while modest model spread explains secondary support for 64–65°F and 68–69°F. Clearer or calmer conditions could push readings lower, whereas increased humidity or cloud cover would support the upper side of the distribution ahead of final NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,519Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor the 66-67°F bin at 42.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Central Park points to an overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations from June 13–14 showing daily lows near 63–66°F, combined with climatological averages of 62–67°F for mid-June, anchor expectations around this range while modest model spread explains secondary support for 64–65°F and 68–69°F. Clearer or calmer conditions could push readings lower, whereas increased humidity or cloud cover would support the upper side of the distribution ahead of final NWS verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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