This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects its entrenched position as the world's largest company by market capitalization, currently exceeding $5 trillion amid robust demand for its AI accelerators and graphics processors. Traders see limited near-term risk of displacement by Apple, Alphabet, or others given NVIDIA's consistent outperformance in the semiconductor sector and broader artificial intelligence ecosystem through mid-2026. With the June resolution date approaching, key swing factors include potential volatility from earnings reports, macroeconomic shifts, or competitive product launches that could narrow the valuation gap, though current momentum strongly favors continuity in NVIDIA's lead.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
NVIDIA's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects its entrenched position as the world's largest company by market capitalization, currently exceeding $5 trillion amid robust demand for its AI accelerators and graphics processors. Traders see limited near-term risk of displacement by Apple, Alphabet, or others given NVIDIA's consistent outperformance in the semiconductor sector and broader artificial intelligence ecosystem through mid-2026. With the June resolution date approaching, key swing factors include potential volatility from earnings reports, macroeconomic shifts, or competitive product launches that could narrow the valuation gap, though current momentum strongly favors continuity in NVIDIA's lead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Jun 2 2026
HSBC lowers Alphabet price target amid AI competition concerns
Alphabet drops to 2%5%
HSBC's reduction of Alphabet's price target reflected investor concerns about intense AI competition and capital expenditure dilution, contributing to Alphabet's low market confidence near June 2026.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA reaches all-time high market cap of $5.224 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 93%4%
NVIDIA's market cap surpasses all competitors, confirming its position as the world's largest company by market capitalization.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 2%6%
This large capital raise aimed to support Alphabet's AI growth but may have diluted shares and pressured its market cap downward.
Jun 1 2026
Morgan Stanley cites WWDC 2026 as key catalyst for Apple AI repositioning
Analyst optimism about Apple's AI initiatives ahead of WWDC 2026 provided some support but was insufficient to reverse the overall downtrend.
Jun 1 2026
Tesla stock plunges amid competition and liability concerns
Tesla dips to 0%2%
Tesla's stock dropped sharply due to rising competition in robotaxis and liability issues, leading to a collapse in its market cap probability to near zero by June 2026.
Jun 1 2026
Amazon announces Prime Day 2026 event from June 23-26
Amazon's announcement of its Prime Day event aimed to boost summer sales, but it did not significantly affect its market cap prospects amid strong competition and slower growth.
May 29 2026
Apple stock hits all-time high ahead of WWDC 2026, seen as AI catalyst
Apple rises to 4%1%
Apple's stock reached an all-time high driven by investor optimism around WWDC 2026 and potential AI product announcements, though overall market confidence remained low compared to NVIDIA.
May 29 2026
Apple shares fall amid global smartphone market slowdown
Apple drops to 5%9%
Apple's declining market share and slowing growth in key product segments led to a sharp drop in investor confidence and market cap.
May 16 2026
NVIDIA stock peaks near all-time high on AI infrastructure dominance
NVIDIA jumps to 94%5%
NVIDIA's stock peaked near its all-time high in mid-May 2026, reflecting its dominant position in AI infrastructure and investor confidence in sustained growth.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock hits all-time high amid AI growth optimism
NVIDIA rises to 93%4%
NVIDIA reached a record stock price driven by strong earnings and AI infrastructure expansion, pushing its market cap probability to 93% by early June 2026, solidifying its position as the largest company by market cap.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco publishes strong Q1 2026 results with 26% profit margin
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's robust quarterly results demonstrated operational strength but failed to reverse its declining market cap probability, which remained near zero, as investors favored tech growth stocks.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports strong Q1 2026 results with revenue exceeding expectations
Saudi Aramco's strong Q1 2026 financial results, including revenue and profit margin increases, reinforced its stable energy sector position but did not significantly boost market cap relative to tech peers.
Mar 10 2026
Alphabet plans $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's announcement to raise $80 billion through equity sales to fund AI infrastructure expansion indicated aggressive investment in AI, impacting its stock negatively due to dilution concerns.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA jumps to 76%11%
NVIDIA's robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026 confirmed its strong earnings growth driven by AI demand, significantly boosting investor confidence and market cap expectations.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA jumps to 74%10%
NVIDIA's robust earnings report confirmed its market leadership and growth trajectory, driving its stock price and market cap higher.
Feb 6 2026
Stifel downgrades Microsoft rating to Hold, cuts price target
Analyst downgrade reflected caution on Microsoft's AI growth prospects, further pressuring its stock and contributing to the continued decline in market cap probability to near zero.
Jan 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q2 FY2026 earnings but stock drops 10%
Microsoft drops to 43%7%
Despite beating earnings estimates, Microsoft’s stock fell sharply due to investor concerns over its heavy investments in AI and OpenAI exposure, leading to a decline in its market cap probability from 50% to 43% and continuing downward trend to 0%.
Jan 5 2026
NVIDIA and Eli Lilly announce AI-driven drug discovery co-innovation lab
NVIDIA jumps to 72%8%
NVIDIA's partnership with Eli Lilly to advance AI in drug discovery showcased its expanding AI applications beyond computing, reinforcing its growth narrative and market leadership.
Oct 15 2025
Alphabet becomes fourth company to top $3 trillion market cap
Alphabet's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap highlighted its strong position in AI and digital advertising, temporarily boosting its market confidence despite later declines.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects its entrenched position as the world's largest company by market capitalization, currently exceeding $5 trillion amid robust demand for its AI accelerators and graphics processors. Traders see limited near-term risk of displacement by Apple, Alphabet, or others given NVIDIA's consistent outperformance in the semiconductor sector and broader artificial intelligence ecosystem through mid-2026. With the June resolution date approaching, key swing factors include potential volatility from earnings reports, macroeconomic shifts, or competitive product launches that could narrow the valuation gap, though current momentum strongly favors continuity in NVIDIA's lead.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
NVIDIA's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects its entrenched position as the world's largest company by market capitalization, currently exceeding $5 trillion amid robust demand for its AI accelerators and graphics processors. Traders see limited near-term risk of displacement by Apple, Alphabet, or others given NVIDIA's consistent outperformance in the semiconductor sector and broader artificial intelligence ecosystem through mid-2026. With the June resolution date approaching, key swing factors include potential volatility from earnings reports, macroeconomic shifts, or competitive product launches that could narrow the valuation gap, though current momentum strongly favors continuity in NVIDIA's lead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Jun 2 2026
HSBC lowers Alphabet price target amid AI competition concerns
Alphabet drops to 2%5%
HSBC's reduction of Alphabet's price target reflected investor concerns about intense AI competition and capital expenditure dilution, contributing to Alphabet's low market confidence near June 2026.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA reaches all-time high market cap of $5.224 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 93%4%
NVIDIA's market cap surpasses all competitors, confirming its position as the world's largest company by market capitalization.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 2%6%
This large capital raise aimed to support Alphabet's AI growth but may have diluted shares and pressured its market cap downward.
Jun 1 2026
Morgan Stanley cites WWDC 2026 as key catalyst for Apple AI repositioning
Analyst optimism about Apple's AI initiatives ahead of WWDC 2026 provided some support but was insufficient to reverse the overall downtrend.
Jun 1 2026
Tesla stock plunges amid competition and liability concerns
Tesla dips to 0%2%
Tesla's stock dropped sharply due to rising competition in robotaxis and liability issues, leading to a collapse in its market cap probability to near zero by June 2026.
Jun 1 2026
Amazon announces Prime Day 2026 event from June 23-26
Amazon's announcement of its Prime Day event aimed to boost summer sales, but it did not significantly affect its market cap prospects amid strong competition and slower growth.
May 29 2026
Apple stock hits all-time high ahead of WWDC 2026, seen as AI catalyst
Apple rises to 4%1%
Apple's stock reached an all-time high driven by investor optimism around WWDC 2026 and potential AI product announcements, though overall market confidence remained low compared to NVIDIA.
May 29 2026
Apple shares fall amid global smartphone market slowdown
Apple drops to 5%9%
Apple's declining market share and slowing growth in key product segments led to a sharp drop in investor confidence and market cap.
May 16 2026
NVIDIA stock peaks near all-time high on AI infrastructure dominance
NVIDIA jumps to 94%5%
NVIDIA's stock peaked near its all-time high in mid-May 2026, reflecting its dominant position in AI infrastructure and investor confidence in sustained growth.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock hits all-time high amid AI growth optimism
NVIDIA rises to 93%4%
NVIDIA reached a record stock price driven by strong earnings and AI infrastructure expansion, pushing its market cap probability to 93% by early June 2026, solidifying its position as the largest company by market cap.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco publishes strong Q1 2026 results with 26% profit margin
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's robust quarterly results demonstrated operational strength but failed to reverse its declining market cap probability, which remained near zero, as investors favored tech growth stocks.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports strong Q1 2026 results with revenue exceeding expectations
Saudi Aramco's strong Q1 2026 financial results, including revenue and profit margin increases, reinforced its stable energy sector position but did not significantly boost market cap relative to tech peers.
Mar 10 2026
Alphabet plans $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's announcement to raise $80 billion through equity sales to fund AI infrastructure expansion indicated aggressive investment in AI, impacting its stock negatively due to dilution concerns.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA jumps to 76%11%
NVIDIA's robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026 confirmed its strong earnings growth driven by AI demand, significantly boosting investor confidence and market cap expectations.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA jumps to 74%10%
NVIDIA's robust earnings report confirmed its market leadership and growth trajectory, driving its stock price and market cap higher.
Feb 6 2026
Stifel downgrades Microsoft rating to Hold, cuts price target
Analyst downgrade reflected caution on Microsoft's AI growth prospects, further pressuring its stock and contributing to the continued decline in market cap probability to near zero.
Jan 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q2 FY2026 earnings but stock drops 10%
Microsoft drops to 43%7%
Despite beating earnings estimates, Microsoft’s stock fell sharply due to investor concerns over its heavy investments in AI and OpenAI exposure, leading to a decline in its market cap probability from 50% to 43% and continuing downward trend to 0%.
Jan 5 2026
NVIDIA and Eli Lilly announce AI-driven drug discovery co-innovation lab
NVIDIA jumps to 72%8%
NVIDIA's partnership with Eli Lilly to advance AI in drug discovery showcased its expanding AI applications beyond computing, reinforcing its growth narrative and market leadership.
Oct 15 2025
Alphabet becomes fourth company to top $3 trillion market cap
Alphabet's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap highlighted its strong position in AI and digital advertising, temporarily boosting its market confidence despite later declines.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "NVIDIA" con 94%, seguido de "Apple" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?" ha generado $19.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?" es "NVIDIA" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Apple" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $19.7 million operados en “¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 94¢ para "NVIDIA" en el mercado "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 94% de que "NVIDIA" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 94¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 6¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Jun 30, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?" tiene una comunidad activa de 1,297 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿La empresa más grande a finales de junio?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes