Anthropic’s Claude services have already logged multiple incidents in the first days of June, including elevated errors across Opus models, the API, and the new Claude Code platform on June 2, with additional degraded performance on June 1 and 3. These events reflect ongoing infrastructure strain from rapid user growth and agentic workloads, a pattern seen in prior 2026 outages that traders view as likely to recur given high demand and limited public detail on capacity upgrades. The closely matched 9–11 day (38.5%) and 12+ day (30.5%) outcomes capture uncertainty over whether scaling fixes or further spikes will push total downtime higher, while low probabilities for fewer than 6 days underscore expectations of persistent reliability challenges for the large language model.